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The following analysis was published November 5, 2013 by The Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS), few days before the P5+1 and Iran...
During the next several months of 2013, Iran could shorten the timeline required for 'nuclear dash' to about one month. A recent report claims Tehran is expected to achieve a critical capability in mid-2014. "Preventing Iran from achieving a critical capability through sanctions, increased frequency of international inspections, and negotiations is a priority". The report understated.
The US has enhanced its biggest bunker buster bomb specifically to enable the destruction of Iran's underground Fordow uranium enrichment plant near the city of Qom. 20 such bombs - the biggest and heaviest bomb in the US arsenal, will be delivered this year, following the completion of upgrades and testing.
Before the Moscow talks began, President Ahmadinejad said that Iran would be willing to forgo enrichment to 20 percent, in return for fuel for the Tehran research reactor. After the negotiations failed, expecting Iran to abandon its indigenous enrichment in exchange of a supply of 3.5 percent enriched fuel for its Bushehr nuclear power reactor seems unrealistic.