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    Assad’s “big secret” A Joint Iran-Syrian-DPRK Nuclear Program?

    There have been persistent allegations that Syria’s regime wants to create its own nuclear weapons capability. Already in 1991 former U.S. Senator Jesse Helms reported before a Senate committee that there were “credible reports” that “China is engaged in furthering the nuclear weapons ambitions of Syria and Iran”. Helms did not elaborate on these “reports” or their origins. In fact, to the contrary, then CIA director John Deutch testified before the U.S. Senate that “Syria’s nuclear research program is at a rudimentary level and appears to be aimed at peaceful uses at this time”. Sources also emphasized that all Syrian activities were subject to International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards. But the cause for concern among allied intelligence communities rose, when CIA report notes revealed the controversial Russian-Syrian cooperation agreement which became finalized in 1998, still under Hafez Assad’s rule in Damascus. Nuclear intelligence experts then assessed that Syrian efforts to acquire dual-use technologies could be applied to a future secret nuclear weapons program.

    Ominous signs foreboded further concern when news trickled out of Syria, that President Bashar al-Asad held secret negotiations with Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, to secure Tehran’s assistance for a group of Iraqi nuclear scientists who were sent to Damascus before Operation Iraqi Freedom in 2003. The reports indicated a group of about 12 middle-ranking Iraqi nuclear scientists and their families that were secretly transported to Syria before the collapse of Saddam’s regime. Allegedly, the scientists who brought with them boxes of CDs crammed with research data on Saddam’s nuclear program, were given new identities, including Syrian citizenship papers and falsified birth, education and health certificates. Since then they have been hidden away at a secret Syrian military installation where they have probably been conducting research work for the Syrian military.

    New focus on Syria’s nuclear ambitions highlighted earlier this week, when, following the unprecedented security clamp-down in Israel on the mystery-filled air strike over Northern Syria, American media, allegedly reporting on information leaked by unnamed official Washington sources, indicated, for the first time that Israel had “struck at a secret Syrian nuclear installation” and destroyed it. This triggered a flurry of reports, from various sources in the Arab Middle East trying to raise the dense fog which stubbornly persisted among the tight-lipped Israeli and US officials. An interesting report by the Paris based ‘Iran Press Service’ revealed a story claiming that the Israeli attack targeted the village of Tal Abyadh, near Deir az Zohr, 160 Kilometers north of Raqqa, but without indicating the nature of this target area. IPS claimed, though, that Israel completely destroyed a long-range missile base and that Israeli leaders suspected Syria and Iran building nuclear arms with the help of North Korea. Although this report, among others, privy to the so-called Iranian resistance opposition sources must always be taken with a large “pinch of salt”, may have some truth inserted, which should rate further examination.


    Defense related cooperation between Syria and North Korea have been known for many years, mainly in the realm of extended Scud missiles. Even between the nation’s leaders relation warmed considerably during the last years.

    On February 2002, President Bashar Assad personally conveyed the gift of a special sword to North Korean leader Kim Yong Il. In 2006 Kim Yong Nam, president of the Presidium of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) Supreme People’s Assembly, met and had a friendly talk with the Syrian government economic delegation.

    In fact, a rare statement by Kim Jong Il’s regime, denouncing Israel’s alleged incursion into Syria, raised speculation about a possible North Korean role in the current tensions between Damascus and Jerusalem. Pyongyang’s public statement, strangely coincidented just as press reports from Washington said Israel had recently used its air force in an attempt to document alleged transfers of North Korean nuclear technology to Syria.

    It has been an open secret, that Damascus has become the main focus of clandestine activities pertaining to weapons of mass destruction smuggling since the American-led coalition forces invaded Saddam Hussein’s Iraq in March 2003. In January 2004, David Kay, former head of the coalition’s hunt for Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction, claimed that part of Saddam Hussein’s secret weapons program was already hidden somewhere in Syria.


    Behind these top secret activities seemed to be a former Iraqi air force general, an Assyrian- Christian named Georges Hormiz Sada. On January 24th 2006, Sada announced the publication of a book he had written entitled Saddam’s Secrets: How an Iraqi General Defied And Survived Saddam Hussein, with the tagline “An insider exposes plans to destroy Israel, hide WMDs and control the Arab world.” In his book, Sada claimed that Saddam Hussein ordered to fly portions of the WMD stockpiles to secret locations in Syria. Although Sada’s book included some highly contradictory material, the Post OIF coalition fact-finding mission (ISG) hunting for suspected stockpiles of WMD, ruled that although it was unlikely that an “official” transfer of WMD material from Iraq to Syria took place. However, it also acknowledged that ISG was unable to complete its investigation and was unable to “rule out the possibility that WMD was evacuated to Syria before the war.”

    A United Nations briefing indeed determined that Saddam Hussein shipped weapons of mass destruction components as well as medium-range ballistic missiles before, during and after the U.S.-led war against Iraq in 2003. The UN Monitoring, Verification and Inspection Commission briefed the Security Council on new findings that could help trace the whereabouts of Saddam’s missile and WMD program. The briefing even contained satellite photographs demonstrating the speed with which Saddam dismantled his missile and WMD sites before and during the war.

    In January 2004, a prominent Syrian journalist named Nizar Nayyouf, known for his challenging reports on the Damascus regime, defected to Europe and published, what he claimed to be Bashar’s top secret hiding places of Saddam’s WMD caches in Syria. According to Nayyouf’s report, the storage is in three locations: Tunnels dug under the town of al-Baida, near Homs, being part of a secret underground factory built by North Korea for Scud Missiles and chemical weapons storage. Another is placed at the Syrian airforce camp at Tal Snan, north of Salamija and the third near the city of Sjinsjar, south of Homs, on the border with Lebanon, where armed air force patrols are in control of a large bunker facility.

    As for Syria’s own nuclear program, intelligence sources have indicated that recent progress has finally accelerated efforts which had stalled any progress for years, due to continued financial constraints. In 1988 Syria initiated an ambitious plan to build no less six nuclear power reactors scheduled by the late 1990s capable of producing 6,000MW at a cost of $3.6 billion. Although Belgium, the then Soviet Union and Switzerland were approached for assistance, the plan came to nought as a result of mostly financial, but also technical issues.

    Nevertheless, GlobalSecurity reported that in 1991, the Peoples Republic of China reporting to the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) the potential sale of a 30 KW research reactor to Syria. However, the IAEA blocked the sale and Syria subsequently reduced its nuclear activities. Another effort in 1995, became nullified when the US persuaded Argentina into abandoning a proposed sale of a reactor to Syria. Two years later, in 1997, it was reported that the Russian government was interested in selling a nuclear reactor to Syria. Indeed, on 23 February 1998, Syria and Russia signed an agreement on the peaceful use of nuclear energy. In July 1998, the two sides agreed on the time table for the realization of a 25-MW light-water nuclear research center project in Syria with the participation of Russia’s Atomstroyeksport and Nikiet. In addition, Russia and Syria have approved a draft program on cooperation on civil nuclear power. Broader access to Russian expertise could provide opportunities for Syria to expand its indigenous capabilities, should it decide to pursue nuclear weapons. According to a London Financial Times report on January 16, 2003, Russian government sources indicated that Russia is negotiating to build a nuclear power plant in Syria. Syrian officials neither confirmed nor denied this report.

    The U.S. National Intelligence Council noted in December 2001that the American intelligence community “remains concerned about Syria’s intentions regarding nuclear weapons”. The report indicated the establishment of nuclear research center at Dayr Al Hajar including a small Chinese-supplied research reactor. Three years later, in 2004 there came intelligence reports alleging that Syria may have acquired centrifuge enrichment technology from the A. Q.Khan network. That same year, an agreement reportedly was signed between Syria and Iran on defense and military cooperation. There are reports that Syria has conducted significant work to examine the feasibility of exploiting phosphatic rock to recover uranium. It is well known that the country is rich in phosphate sediments deposits and produces around one-fifth of the phosphate rock mined in the entire Middle East. According to statistics, in 2001, Syria mined over 2.04 million tons of phosphate. A uranium recovery micro-pilot plant is already operating at Homs. There were also reports that Syria had obtained potential acquisition of enrichment technologies from the notorious A.Q. Khan network. According to one report issued in August 2004, American officials believed that Syria received “an unspecified number” of P1 centrifuge components “in what could be the most significant step” in the country’s “nascent nuclear weapons program.”

    Wether Syria will join Iran in its race towards nuclear wepons capability, or limit its activities in peaceful research remains debatable. Will the recent “air show” mystery over northern Syria may decide the issue?

    Images available at: Global Security

    Multi-purpose Troop Transport Carrier System – MTTCS

    Multi-purpose Troop Transport Carrier System (MTTCS) developed by Teledyne Brown Engineering and SAIC, to address military requirements for safe transport and rapid deployment of troops and fortifications. The basic shelter accommodates up to 10 people and their associated gear while countering the ballistic threats of small-arms fire, up to and including 7.62 mm AP, and most fragmentation from Improvised Explosive Device (IED) blast threats.

    The modular armored shelter can be mounted on medium or heavy trucks or dismount to a fixed position, such as checkpoints access control points, medical facilities or forward command and control point. Each four foot armor module has a built-in roll cage with four point seat harness restraints. Each module mounts an escape hatch, hinged ballistic glass protected firing and view ports, and roof mounted gun ring for M2, M240, MK19 weapons. MTTCS structures weighing 4,400 up to 9,600 pounds are combined of edge ports, center modules to form various types of fortifications suitable for the specific mission. Each module can be sling loaded to the forward area. The MTTCS has been test proven by the Rapid Equipping Force (REF) at the U.S. Army Test and Evaluation Command, and has undergone combat operational evaluation under REF sponsorship in Iraq.

    T-250D Telepresent Rapid Aiming Platform – TRAP

    The Telepresent Rapid Aiming Platform (TRAP) T-250D Mk IV is a lightweight, remotely controlled weapon mount. The system is mounted on a vehicle and can also be dismounted within few minutes, enabling users to remotely control a variety of sniper rifles or light machine guns. TRAP is designed to carry various weapons, from a standard M4, M16 to M-249 SAW, M-240 and the SR-25 sniper rifle up to the 0.50 Caliber M-82A-1M Barret high power sniper rifle. TRAP’s overall system weight is 62 lbs (31.7 kg) including the remote mount, controller and 360° drive.

    The system uses imaging sensors which can be viewed on a portable controller, displaying a stabilized video image, with superimposed reticle showing the aimpoint, adjusted to compensate for measured range, and associated target location grid coordinates. TRAP can be located at distance of up to 109 yards (100 m’) from the controller, linked by cable. Multiple TRAPs can be linked to a single control center, to provide improved perimeter protection and control. The modular optics package can include a wide-angle search camera with 26X zoom capability (use of a doubler or tripler magnifiers is optional), a thermal camera, night vision optics, and a gunsight camera slaved to either a riflescope or hologram sight. The system is currently undergoing testing with the Marines. Procurement decision is expected by mid 2007.

    XM116 – Small Arms Fire Control System II

    L3 Communications designed the XM116 to improve the combat effectiveness of fire support weapons, particularly the Mk19 Automatic Grenade Launcher. The system can be adapted to support 0.50 Caliber machine guns (M2HB) and other types of weapons and ammunition.

    Designed for manned and remotely operated weapon applications, the system improves the weapon’s operator situational awareness and survivability, enables rapid target engagement and increased capability in day and night. XM116 uses an eye-safe laser rangefinder effective up to five kilometers.

    The 3 lbs system incorporates a day/night full-solution fire control and a fuse setter for air-bursting 25mm ammunition used by the XM-25. The aimpoint, with ballistic correction, is projected on the viewer in day and night operation. Day channel consists of 2x magnification 640×480 sensor direct view optics, while night channel incorporates an uncooled, thermal Night sensor 320×240 (8-12u) 25um pixel pitch with an x4 digital zoom. The system incorporates an eye-safe laser rangefinder measuring distances at an accuracy of 1 meter. Both sensors feed images to a common 640×480 head-mounted video viewer, which also displays annotated system information and a ballistic solution reticle.

    The ballistic computer calculates the ballistic correction for the target range, air temperature, weapon cant and atmospheric pressure.  XM116 demonstrated an increase in the probability of hit [P(h)] from 3% to 54% at 1,000 meters, using military gunners and standard Mk19 grenade machine guns. By improving accuracy and first burst hit probability, the system contributes to reduce ammunition cost at about 80%.

    Israel Sets the Stage for a Massive, $60 Billion Military Buildup

    Israel Defense Forces Chief of Staff Gabi Ashkenazi approved today (Sept 3rd, 2007) the Israel defense Forces (IDF) five year military procurement plan under the codename “TEFEN 2012” projecting expenditure of US$60 billion over five years between 2008 and 2012. The program reflects the IDF’s utilization of the increased US military aid supporting about 75% of the program. The US$30 Billion additional military aid to be allocated over 10 years was committed by the USA last month to support Israel’s military buildup will play an instrumental role in the new revitalization program and, will most probably influence some of the IDF procurement decisions. TEFEN will be submitted to government approval by January 2008.

    For the first time in over a decade, the IDF make significant investment in its land forces, as it plans to field hundreds of new Merkava Mk4 tanks, heavy armored personnel fighting vehicles, command and control elements and a wide range of unmanned systems.

    Strategic investments in Intelligence, Reconnaissance and Surveillance (ISR) will constitute a major element in TEFEN, as ISR programs are expected to proceed at an even higher pace, facing the growing risk of escalation and destabilization in the region. Assets will include aerial (manned and unmanned) platforms, spaceborne and electronic surveillance means. Furthermore, Israel is expected expand its missile defensive systems, introducing enhanced Arrow 3 ballistic missile interceptors, which will enhance the current ‘Homa’ program preparing to face the imminent unconventional threat from Iran, anticipated by the end of this decade. The program is funding continued development of the ‘Magic Wand’ medium range missile interceptor, currently under development in a joint Israeli-US program. TEFEN seeks accelerating development and potential fielding of the ‘Iron Cap’ Counter Rocket, Artillery and Mortar (C-RAM) system, which is expected to be ready for operational use within 24 months.

    The shift toward the land forces is reflecting some of the lessons learned from the 2nd lebanon War, where Israel’s land forces experienced operational problems especially in land forces employment following years of neglect and erosion in equipment modernization and training scheduled. During the last years, while operational focus was diffused by continuous low-intensity warfare in the occupied territories, which gave national priorities to small unit counter-insurgency tactics and equipment.


    One of the significant elements of the five year program is the reconstitution of maneuver warfare as part of the IDF operational capability, realizing the threats and limitations imposed by modern weapons and asymmetric warfare tactics. Acquisition and upgrading of hundreds of new armored personnel carriers, primarily Merkava based Namer AIFVs (shown in the image above) will strengthen the infantry brigades, enabling them to move and fight over any terrain facing high threat levels in fire saturated environment. The absence of such vehicles severely hampered IDF maneuverability and mobility during last year’s Lebanon war, necessitating the use of Merkava tanks to operate under severe tactical inferiority conditions, lacking adequate protection, mainly operating in unsuitable infantry support when tasked with troop mobility, resupply and medical evacuation missions, pitted against 3rd and 4th generation anti-tank missiles.

    Production of Merkava Mk4 tanks will continue as planned, adding hundreds of tanks throughout 2012. These tanks will eventually replace all Merkava Mk 2 tanks currently stored for reserve units. The Ground Forces Command will establish a new divisional headquarters, adding more flexibility to the tactical command structure. However, the IDF is not expected to establish new units under the current buildup plan. In addition, Israel will continue to produce Merkava 4 tanks. Both Merkava and Namer will receive new active protection systems (APS) which will dramatically enhance their protection against advanced anti-tank threats. Unlike passive and reactive armor, APS will provide all-round protection to the vehicles, making them useful in asymmetric battle, as well as in high intensity conflict. APS will also be provided to other tanks, including Merkava Mk 3, some Mk2s and other heavy APCs.

    While some of the funding foreseen by the Israel Air and Space Force (IASF) will be redirected to the land and naval arms, the Air Force will still receive major influx of new systems including some of the latest air assets. The new program confirms, for the first time, the IDF plans to buy up to 100 F-35 Lightning II strike fighters (photo above). Within the scope of the current five years plan, the IASF will be able to commit to procurement of a first line fighter squadron, purchasing the first batch of 25 aircraft, air/air and precision strike weaponry and support systems. If the IASF makes its decision quickly enough, the first aircraft could be delivered by 2014. The IASF will also receive funding to upgrade its existing aircraft arsenal; included are plans for avionics upgrades of all F-16C/D fighters, bringing them to the Block 50/52 (F-16I) level and possible upgrades for the F-15 fleet. However, due to budgetary constraints the IASF will have to postpone the procurement of new aerial refueling and transport aircraft, which are rapidly aging and therefore increasingly expensive to maintain. Since the operating budgets of refueling assets are funded separately, the IASF may consider alternative options, including outsourcing of aerial refueling services using Gulfstream G550 or Boeing platforms.

    The Israel Navy (IN) will receive ‘green light’ committing to the construction of two Littoral Combat Ships, which will probably be used as command ships for two naval task forces, combining surface and subsurface elements including Dolphin submarines, Saar V corvettes, improved Saar IV missile boats and unmanned surface vessels. The navy will also receive new air defense systems, most probably, derivatives of the joint Israeli-Indian Barak-8 development program.

    S-300PMU3 / S400 Triumf (SA-21)

    The latest version of the high performance, strategic air defense system developed by the Almaz Science and Production Association is the S-300PMU3 / S-400 Triumf (SA-21). The missile was first introduced in 1999 and features a new, much larger missile developed by the Fakel Machine Building Design Bureau, deployed in pairs (two per TEL), rather then stacks of four as in previous S-300 systems. Unlike its predecessor (the S-300), the Triumf is equipped with a homing warheads and therefore, can be employed beyond the range of its guidance radar (up to 400 km).

    The system is believed to have an engagement range of 400 km (250 mi) and the capability to detect stealth. The Triumf missile is capable of intercepting medium range (3,500km) ballistic missiles.

    According to First Deputy Prime Minister Sergei Ivanov, who oversees the defense related sectors, Russia is seeking to develop a follow-on system to the S400, combining elements of air-, missile-, and space defenses. Ivanov mentioned that the Russian military has inducted the new S-400 missile systems in late 2006. The status of the system remains unclear. In the past, first deployment was announced in late 2006, and initial operational capability was expected within 2007. Yet, the system’s development was considerably delaied and was expected to complete development later in 2007. Triumf systems will be fielded in two phases. the baseline system will be fielded firs, and the full capability version (advanced Triumf) will be fielded beginning 2010. The Russian air defense forces commander Lieutenant-General Alexander Gorkov, was quoted by the kommersant saying the (advanced) system will be operational defending strategic locations in Russia by 2015.

    On July 12 the Russian Air Force successfully tested the new S-400 Triumpf air defense missile system. The long range anti-aircraft / anti-missile system is capable of intercepting targets considered ‘difficult’ for contemporary air defense systems, including ‘stealth’ aircraft and long-range, high flying targets such as the early warning and control (AWACS) platforms.

    The S-400 was first displayed in Moscow public on the V-Day parade May 9, 2009

    Overwatch – Gunshot Detection System Advanced Concept Technology Demonstration (ACTD)

    Overwatch threat detection and localization system is under development by the U.S. Army Space and Missile Command as an advanced concept technology program (ACTD). The system integrates two types of sensors, a staring thermal sensor covering wide area, and a telescopic, narrow-field of view thermal sensor, used for target identification and localization. Target information and imagery is disseminated via radio data communications, enabling immediate display of firing incidents on distributed FBCB2 situational pictures. Overwatch will be able to provide ground forces with actionable information of hostile fire events, including direct fire weapons, rocket propelled grenades (RPG) and mortars, in real-time to counter attack. The system also collects video evidence for follow-on operations. Overwatch was scheduled to be ready for initial operational capability in 2006.

    Sky Spirt Mini UAV

    Lockheed Martin’s family of tactical Unmanned Aerial Systems exists in two variants: Sky Spirit and Sky Spirit ER (Extended Range). The vehicles are designed for persistent surveillance missions in excess of 22 hours, covering 50 nautical miles area of influence. The UAS is designed for intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance missions, force protection (convoy support), target acquisition, deep penetration surveillance and covert delivery of , small packages in denied territories. In its current configuration, Lockheed Martin’s Sky Spirit UAS has a gross take-off weight of 180 lbs (81.8 kg) and a payload capacity of 75 lbs (34.1 kg). Sky Spirit was designed to allow flexible payload and fuel-weight combinations, as well as extended endurance profiles and persistent surveillance capabilities.


    The Sky Spirit platform is built from Kevlar fibers and epoxy matrix composites. The fuselage of the basic model is 112 inch (2.84 m’) long and 122 inch (3.1 m’) for the ER version. The design incorporates a mid-body wing with trailing edge mounted engine. Propulsion is provided by a modified, commercial four stroke 5 HP engine-alternator, delivering more than 500 watts for electrical power. The wing span is 11.5 ft – 3.51 meter span for the Sky Spirit model, and 16 ft – 4.88 m’ for the ER. Empty weight is 35 lbs (15.8 kg) for Sky Spirit and 57 lbs (25.8 kg) for the ER model. Communications and data links antennas are embedded in the winglets, support high data-rate transmissions of up to 20 MB/S over S-Band.

    The UAV’s survivability is enhanced by the design of its fuselage for reduced radar cross section. The pusher propeller and tail section contribute to an aerodynamically stable platform that improves the performance of its sensor payload. The vehicle includes retractable landing gear designed for takeoff and landing from unprepared grass strips without special support equipment. The vehicle employs a modular sensor architecture based on “plug and play”. The heart of the Sky Spirit payload is a sensor capability pointing system which supports 360 degrees of continuous motion in azimuth and 82.5 degrees in elevation, allowing a broad area of coverage. The system is operated by a crew of three. Sky Spirit can cruise at airspeed of about 100 ktas, at a maximum altitude of 16,000 ft. above sea level, operating at ranges of 27 – 50 nm for 10 – 22 (ER) hours.

    In October 2006 Lockheed Martin demonstrated the capability of Sky Spirit to operate with Miniature SAR, offering tactical ground forces with broad-area, high resolution imaging capability under all weather conditions. The UAV flew with the Sandia National Laboratories MiniSAR at an altitude of 3,000 feet, transmitting high resolution (4 inch) SAR imagery to the ground station in near-real-time. During four different mission demonstrations, the Sky Spirit transmitted MiniSAR images capturing actionable data in two operational modes: focused area circle-mapping and broad area strip-mapping. Multiple imaging passes were post-processed to demonstrate coherent change detection used to identify changes over time. In the highest resolution mode, the high definition SAR image could support resolution of four-inch (10 cm).

    Laser Guided JDAM Debuts in Iraq

    Earlier this month the U.S. Air Force dropped the first 500 lb Laser Guided Joint Directed Attack Munition (LJDAM) on a target in Iraq. Developed by the U.S. Air Force and Boeing, in response to an urgent operational requirement raised early 2007, Guided Bomb Unit 54 (GBU54) completed development and testing in 17 months, and has been fielded aboard 332nd Air Expeditionary Wing aircraft in May. The weapon was dropped from an F-16s from the 77th Expeditionary Fighter Squadron deployed to Joint Base Balad, Iraq against a moving enemy vehicle in Diyala Province, Iraq.

    “We have consistently used precision-guided weapons to engage stationary threats with superb combat effects,” said Brig. Gen. Brian Bishop, 332nd AEW commander. “This weapon allows our combat pilots to e
    ngage a broad range of moving targets with dramatically increased capabilities and it increases our ability to strike the enemy throughout a much, much broader engagement envelope.”

    The weapon uses a combination of GPS and laser guidance to accurately engage and destroy moving targets, utilizing the Precision Laser Guidance Set (PLGS) kit comprising of a laser seeker that acquires and tracks laser signals reflected from the target and a processor that transmits guidance command to the JDAM tailkit. Boeing won the U.S. Air Force contract to modify its JDAM weapon, fielding a laser seeker developed by Elbit Systems, which has already been proven on other aerial guided weapons. The initial $28 million LJDAM contract was awarded to Boeing in May 2007, for the modification of 600 laser seekers to the existing 500-pound JDAM bombs.

    Apart from the US Air Force, Germany has also ordered the GBU-54.

    Putin’s Muscle Flexing: Bluff or Cold War Challenge?

    No matter what experts may say, Russia’s growing assertiveness is already causing jitters in the West. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), consisting of Russia, China and four Central Asian republics (Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan), held its “Peace Mission 2007” joint war exercises in August, starting in the Chinese western province of Xinjiang and continuing it in Russia’s Ural region of Chelyabinsk. The military exercise, which followed the SCO’s annual summit in Kyrgyzstan earlier this month, represents a clear demonstration of the rising power tensions over the energy-rich Central Asian region.

    If not enough to poke a finger in US President George Walker Bush’s eye, Russian president Vladimir Putin took the opportunity to formally announce that Russia was restoring the ancient Cold War practice of long-range patrolling by nuclear-capable strategic bombers around the world. In fact, with Russia’s nuclear bombers are now permanently airborne again and President Vladimir Putin loses no opportunity to strut the world stage and flex his country’s military muscles. While the bombers did not pose any acute danger, Russian planes are old and perhaps not sufficiently maintained for prolonged operational sorties. Their crews, both pilots and ground crews are not as well trained and professionally proficient as in Soviet times. This creates a distinct possibility that before long there will be dangerous accidents.

    Yet all the sound and fury can hardly disguise an essential fact: that far from being a rising power like China or India, Russia is already locked in a long-term decline. While at present, the high global oil prices give Russia’s economy a temporary upsurge, with which Mr Putin can afford the necessary cash to display his military prowess- this may rapidly change, once oil prices decline again.

    The age-old Achilles Heel is in Russia’s national economy. Its near total dependence on oil and natural gas, is both dangerous and prone to political adventurism. To illustrate this, Russia’s official GDP is approximately a mere$1.723 trillion compared to the huge US- $13 trillion! ( 2006 estimates). Moreover, While Mr Putin’s sabre rattling raises new memories of the Cold War, today’s overall strategic military situation does not even compare in the slightest with the Iron Curtain era.
    In those days, until the late Eighties, Central Europe was a Russian fiefdom with Kremlin deploying no less than 18 armored divisions in the East Germany, projecting its military power toward the geographical centre of Europe. But today, by contrast, the former Soviet satellite states are fully independent and far from friendly to their former Kremlin mentors. Latvia, Estonia and Lithuania, once republics of the Soviet Union, are members of both the EU and NATO, which eastern border is now only a short drive from St Petersburg, one of Russia’s most prestigious strongholds. These fundamental realities vividly betray Russia’s essential strategic weakness.

    Thus, Kremlin is trying to create a new strategic entity in Central Asia, where it believes that the United States, still embroiled in its Iraqi quagmire, is losing its former influence. The August military exercises are primarily meant to establish this image, but does it really impress those at which it is intended? It seems logical that the powers at be in Beijing will hardly throw in their lot with Putin’s dangerous ambitions, which will certainly place them at loggerheads with Bush’s strategic interests in South East Asia, before China becomes a real strategic regional power by itself.

    The Russian Navy aircraft carrier Adm. Kuznetsov.

    But meanwhile the Russian military are not losing time to announce their new toys. Admiral Vladimir Masorin commander of the Russian Navy since 2005, said recently that Russia would resume building aircraft carriers in order to become a first-class naval power with a powerful ocean-going navy. But even Russian military analysts are refuting this kind of swaggering talk. Russian admirals have been pointing to a renewal of Moscow’s naval presence in the Mediterranean Sea, dominated by the US Sixth Fleet and NATO (CINCUSNAVEUR) since the cold war era. Unofficial Russian sourced estimates speak of one carrier, five cruisers (two nuclear-powered), nine destroyers, and 12 ocean-going frigates which are considered to be operational, but naval experts estimate even these figures over optimistic. With such a small force already dispersed among four different naval commands, (Black, North, Baltic Sea and the Pacific Ocean fleets), it will be far from easy “to restore” a combat effective task force in the Mediterranean on “a permanent basis.”

    In the communist era Russia had built five aircraft carriers, all constructed at a shipyard in Nikolayev, Ukraine This shipyard is today politically unavailable to Russia and another option seems not in sight at the moment for the monumental task, which Admiral Masorin insinuates. According to naval experts, Russia simply cannot build a carrier, since it does not have a shipyard with a dock that can construct ships of such size. Moreover, of the five carriers in Soviet era arsenals, three of them have already been sold abroad as scrap. The only one retained by the Russian Navy, the Admiral Kuznetsov, which has turned out to be an inoperable wreck. Another embarrassing story concerns the fate of Russia’s attempt to modernize the Class (Type 1143.5) Heavy Aircraft Carrying Cruiser Gorshkov. The $1.5 billion contract to modernize the Class (Type 1143.5) Heavy Aircraft Carrying Cruiser Gorshkov was signed in 2004, and the Indian Navy was hoping to get a fully operational carrier in 2008, complete with an air wing of MiG-29K jet fighters. In August this year, it was reported that the Sevmash Shipyards at Severodvinsk, in northern Russia, was unable to complete the Gorshkov on time and construction will not conclude before 2011! Sevmash Director General Vladimir Pastukhov was fired by the Kremlin for this debacle.

    New and powerful missiles are part of a significant plan beefing up most of Russia’s decadent weapons systems. The Bulava missile system will become a flagship project that Russian President Vladimir Putin has claimed piercing any Western missile shield. The decision to go ahead with production despite several test failures comes in the wake of a US-Russia concern over American plans to base 10 missile interceptors in Poland and radar installations in the Czech Republic, which the Russian president regards as a personal affront.

    But that is not all. Russia’s former pride in its fleet of missile submarines, has been reduced to a mere nine vessels. Although the first Russian fourth-generation strategic nuclear submarine the Project 955 or Borey -class Yury Dolgoruky, was launched during a special ceremony at a shipbuilding yard in northern Russia last April, the Navy has still not quite overcome the highly publicized and painful loss of the K-141 Kursk in August 2000.

    According to Alexander Buturin, a presidential advisor on military-technical policy, Russia will invest about 170 billion rubles ($6,5bln) in the next eight to 10 years, in modernization of its shipyards. But while quite impressive, under present Russian economic conditions, this somewhat meager funding in global comparisons, would be totally insufficient to create a naval force of size and power, capable in confronting modern western naval forces already in service. In fact, with the bulk of the money, some 13 billion rubles, already earmarked for the construction of three Project 955 submarines would leave little or nothing for the Russian Navy’s urgent technical equipment program modernization.

    According to intelligence reports, the Russian strategic bomber fleet currently has operational aircraft stationed only at two major airbases, and the absence of an effective modern early warning system leaves the Russian aircraft almost completely vulnerable to a surprise attack. The same applies to the mobile launchers for Topol-M intercontinental ballistic missiles, which now hardly ever leave their hangars — hangars which the Americans have constantly in their sights. In comparison, as of the beginning of the year, Russia had only 79 strategic bombers, according to data exchanged with the United States under the START I arms control treaty. At the peak of the Cold War, the Soviet long-range bomber fleet numbered several hundred. Even under the most optimistic conditions, money being no object, it might well take years until such a level of operational bomber fleet will become a real threat to western strategic air domination.

    As for Russia’s defense industry, the situation is not much better, if one glimpses behind the bombastic public relations stunts in air-and defense shows. None other than Lieutenant General Sergey Chemezov, head of Rosoboronexport, the Russian state defense export agency, recently painted a dramatic picture of the dismal state of his country’s weapons industry. The majority of weapons manufacturers, says Chemezov, a close confidante of President Putin, are in a “difficult situation,” with 75 percent of their production facilities obsolete. According to one study, one-third of Russia’s arms manufacturers are “virtually bankrupt.”

    According to analysts in the know, although the Russian defense budget has almost quadrupled to its current level of $31 billion in the last six years, Kremlin uses its military spending “very ineffectively” when it comes to upgrading its equipment, says arms expert Ruslan Puchov. And, based on a study by GRU, the Russian military intelligence agency, about one-third of the country’s military budget ends up lining the pockets of high-ranking officers and party bosses.

    In comparison, US military spending is in a different league altogether. Since taking office in January 2001, US President George W. Bush has almost doubled the Pentagon budget. Russian Defense Minister Sergey Ivanov complained that the US defense budget is “25 times as large as Russia’s.” Just to name a single item, the US Navy plans to commission its 13th aircraft carrier very shortly! And even for a limited and still highly controversial ad-hoc project like MRAP, the Pentagon received immediate funding for over $ 20 billion, without a blink of the eye from Congress. Under such circumstances it seems highly unlikely that Moscow could, in the foreseen future, catch up with the United States technologically. Instead, the purpose of the planned modernization effort is probably aimed to polish the image of the Russian state and its decrepit military, not just domestically but mainly among allies and potential clients in the Middle East.

    Moscow simply lacks the financial means to effectively challenge the Americans. “Russia’s gross domestic product is only one-thirteenth of that of the United States,” says Vladimir Ryzhkov, a member of the opposition in Russia’s parliament, who regards Putin’s aggressive rhetoric as an effort to impress Russian voters leading up to oncoming December parliamentary elections. The latest publicity stunt by Moscow in its dramatic submarine dive to plant the Russian flag on the seabed at the North Pole last week may have rattled Canadian politics and underscored the growing stakes as the ice cap melts in the oil-rich Arctic, but was primarily intended for local consumption. Sending some of its strategic bomber fleet flying above the North Pole only enhanced Putin’s display of Russia’s military muscle to the media.

    Taking at its facts, there is no doubt Putin’s Russia has come a long way from the remnants of a crumbling empire that Yeltsin inherited and ran into the ground. And the timing of the renaissance – when superpower concerns are drowning in self-created war-against-terrorism quagmires – has been near perfect. Indeed, Putin’s Cold War reminiscent response to America’s missile defence system in Europe exposes the West’s growing limits and frustration at a come-again Russia.

    oscow’s decision to resume Cold War-style strategic bomber patrols confirms it has revived the political will and economic means to challenge US global dominance and NATO expansion with more than just rhetoric. Wether this strategy succeeds remains highly doubtful, however.

    An RAF Typhoon from Number XI Squadron shadowing a Russian Bear-H aircraft over the North Atlantic Ocean on 17 August 2007. Photo: RAF via UK MOD.

    Indeed, Putin’s gambit may well backfire on his strategic ambitions. With next year’s US presidential elections looming near, the Republicans, based on present lack of public support, may lose, which will enter a Democratic president into the White House. But if Putin’s provocations persist and emerge into a real cold war scenario arms race, it will not only jeopardize the democrat chances, but most probably retain a hard-line republican like John McCain, to “save America” from the “Bad Russian Bear”. Vladimir Putin has already been regarded as Washington’s “bad guy”. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has never trusted Putin, being a former KGB agent, and influential Senator McCain has been persistently calling for a tougher stance on Moscow for years. Moreover, the US economy will surely benefit and flourish further, when its heavy industry once again receives top national priorities to win another inter-global arms race. This can hardly be Putin’s aim, but perhaps the clocks in Moscow go different than in Washington?


    M-1117 Armored Security Vehicle (ASV)

    ASV M-1117 (ASV-150) Armored Security Vehicle developed by Textrone Marine and Land Systems (Formerly Cadilac Gage) is a highly mobile, survivable and C-130 transportable 4X4 wheeled vehicle currently in production for the U.S. Army’s Military Police.

    The vehicle is designed to provided maximum survivability with IBD Modular Expandable Armor System (MEXAS) utilizing ceramic composite applique on exterior and a spall liner on interior surfaces. Simula has received an order from Textron Systems to produce lightweight ceramic/composite applique armor kits. The external armor panels provide ballistic protection against various small-arms and fragment threats with a minimum weight penalty. This armor protects the front, rear and sides of the crew compartment from armor-piercing ammunition. The fully armored ASV maintains its air transportability and is lightweight enough for “roll-on/roll-off” from C-130 military transport aircraft in fully armored configuration. The vehicle offers mobility, agility, handling, and ride quality through the utilization of a four-wheel independent suspension systemis equipped with four-wheel independent suspension system.

    Additionally, the ASV offers defense from artillery shell fragments overhead and mine blasts under each wheel. The vehicle is fitted with a dual weapon station which, as standard issues on US Army ASVs, mounts agrenade launcher and machine gun. The weapon station enables the crew to load, reload and clear gun jams under full armor protection. With minor modifications and appropriate outfitting, ASV variants can perform a wide variety of missions including scout, infantry personnel carrier, reconnaissance, command and recovery. The vehicle costs about $600,000 each. The US Army ordered 69 vehicles, of which 63 are already deployed in Iraq by April 2004. More than 450 ASVs have been deployed in the Global War on Terrorism in support of convoy protection and other combat missions.

    The M1117 ASV is used by the U.S. Army for its military police and convoy protection, and for Combat Observing and Lasing Teams. More than 650 ASVs have been deployed in the Global War on Terrorism (GWOT) in support of convoy protection and other combat missions. Textron Marine & Land is currently on contract for more than 1,360 vehicles. The total multiyear procurement program planned by the US Army includes 1,987 vehicles at a total cost of $1.68 billion.

    In October 2006 the US Army awarded contracts for 64 Armored Security Vehicles (ASV) to be modified into “Armor Knight” (M707) configuration under a US$35 million contract awarded to Textron’s marine & land systems.

    Transformational Satellite Communications (TSAT)

    Boeing recently demonstrated communication capabilities between its Transformational Satellite Communications (TSAT) laser communications terminal and BAE Systems’ Airborne Lasercom Risk Reduction Terminal (ALT) demonstrating interoperability between terminals built by Boeing, Ball Aerospace and BAE Systems. The demonstration used several optical waveforms to route TSAT communication signals through the Lasercom Terminal at data rates of up to 10 gigabytes per second. The test demonstrated the TSAT capability to switch laser communications links between TSAT and ATL satellites.
    The lab test comprised a telescope, optical bench assembly, and closed-loop pointing and tracking hardware.

    TSAT is scheduled to begin U.S. military service by 2014. It is designed to provide conventional communications services and laser communication capabilities to all branches of the military, including space and airborne platforms. The data capacity afforded by the Lasercom service will start at 2.5 gigabytes per second, nearly the equivalent of 150 simultaneous high definition television channels. TSAT will open up new airborne mission possibilities in the areas of command and control, surveillance and reconnaissance.

    The Boeing team, which includes Raytheon, Ball Aerospace, General Dynamics, IBM, L-3 Communications, Cisco Systems, BBN Technologies, Hughes Network Systems, Lucent Technologies, Harris, EMS Technologies, ICE and Alpha Informatics, is working under a $514 million U.S. Air Force contract for the TSAT Space Segment Risk Reduction and System Definition program.

    AIR POWER Middle East Conference to take place in Dubai Sept 2-3, 2007

    On 2nd September, delegates from key nations will gather in Dubai to attend the Air Power UV Middle East International Conference , which will focus on military fixed-wing aircrafts and unmanned systems in the middle east.
    Defense Update is sponsoring this important event, together with leading aerospace and defense companies including Northrop Grumman, The Boeing Company, ELT Electronica, BAE Systems, Lockheed Martin, FR Aviation and the Cobham Flight Operations & Services and defense publications including the Arab Defence Journal and TA Armenment, sponsoring the event.

    Air Power UV Middle East will welcome over 180 attendees from UAE, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain, Oman, UK, USA, France, Germany, Turkey, Pakistan, Jordan and Belgium. The event is endorsed and supported by the UAE Air Force. Military delegations from Oman, UAE, Saudi Arabia and Qatar will attend the event.

    The conference will be held at the Armed Forces Officers Club & Hotel, in Abu Dhabi.

    For more information and registration please check the official conference page at the Shephard Group website.

    The Yazidi Bloodbath one in Long Line of Persecution

    Members of the secretive Yazidi religion are deeply concerned over their future in Iraq after last Tuesday’s devastating attack, which massacred nearly five hundred of their number, in a horrific suicide bombing on their villages. Hardly was Tuesday’s attack on Qahtaniya, located about 70 miles west of Mosul, the first perpetrated against this small sect, numbering barely 500,000 in all.


    Some 72 separate attacks were recorded at the hands of Turks, Arabs, Persians and Kurds throughout the Yazidi long history. And no less than 192 Yazidis have been killed in the past four years, since the US Army invaded Iraq in 2003. Although no single organization has yet taken responsibility over Tuesday’s brutality, it clearly bore the hallmarks of al Qaeda, which has been known to regroup in northern Iraq, after being driven out by determined US and Iraqi military action, from their former strongholds in Anbar and Diyala provinces.

    Most of the killings were perpetrated on religious grounds as fundamentalist and Islamist groups see Yazidis as infidels who either have to convert to Islam, or be killed.

    Fatwas against the Yazidis have been issued even in Mosques by some extremist Muslim preachers. Analysts assume, that the present attack on the Yazidi sect has its origin in an equally brutal incident last April, when a young Yazidi woman, named Du’a Khalil Aswad was stoned to death in Bashika, Mosul, in a guesome example of collective “honor killing”. Islamist groups active in this region exploited the incident, capitalizing on this crime by urging revenge upon the Yazidis, claiming that the woman had converted to Islam to join her Muslim lover, characterizing the murder as ‘martyrdom’, rather than honor killing in the Yazidi sect tradition. Indeed, less than two weeks later, 23 Yazidi workers were massacred, when gunmen hijacked a bus, separated the Christian and Muslim passengers from the Yazidi, which were forcibly taken and executed by gunfire standing against a village wall.

    Last Tuesday’s carnage had also clear foreboding signs already written on the wall. The Iraqiyun News Agency which reported eyewitness accounts over leaflets signed by the Mujahideen Army were threatening members of the Yazidi sect. Such leaflets were distributed in Mosul on Monday, the day before the attack, demanding Yazidis to convert to Islam or leave the northern city within three days. The next day someone already struck with horrifying consequences at these hapless people. (The village in ruines after the attack can be seen in the picture below).

    Origins of the Yazidi secret faith

    The Yazidi or Yezidi are primarily ethnic Kurds. Although the Yazidis speak Kurdish, the origins of Yazidism are ultimately shrouded in Middle Eastern prehistory. During the regime of Saddam Hussein, Yazidis were considered by the Ba’ath Party to be Arabs and thus maneuvered to oppose the Kurds, by tilting the ethnic balance in Kurdistan. However, both ethnic different groups fought together against Ba’athist troops, often in mixed Peshmerga units. Since the 2003 US occupation of Iraq, the Kurds would want the Yazidi to be recognized as ethnic Kurds to increase their numbers and influence under the new political circumstances.

    The Yazidi believe that the founder of their religion, Sheikh Adi Ibn Musafir al Umawi, was a manifestation of Melek Taus, “the Peacock Angel”, the central figure of their faith. In their art and sculpture Melek Taus is depicted as peacock. The Yazidi are thought to be unique in their depiction of their primary god as a bird. Tucked away in a mountainous area in northern Iraq, the Yazidi maintain their traditions so shrouded in secrecy, that no outsiders have seen its most important rituals. In fact, few people besides Yazidi religious leaders have copies of the group’s holy books. Some of their opponents even swear, that their obscure faith derided by some as a religion of devil worship. This may well be one of the reasons, but certainly not the only one for the profound Muslim hatred for this strange obscure sect.

    But another reason for such irrational attitude, seems a Yazidi belief that their faith is a derivation from Umayyad Caliph Yazid I (Yazid bin Muawiyah), who is revered by some Yazidis. Yazid, second Umayyad caliph (680–683), is particularly noted for his suppression of a rebellion led by Hussein, the son of ‘Ali who brought about the death of Hussein at the Battle of Karbala’ (680). For the Shi’a Muslims, Yazid is the consummate villain, who will always be remembered for his murder of Hussein and persecution of his family. In fact there is little difference between the majority of Sunni and the Shia opinions in this respect.

    As for their religious shrines, Sheikh Adi ibn Musafir al Umawi’s burial place is at Lalish, also called: Lalisha nĂ»ranĂ® a small mountain valley situated in Iraqi Kurdestan, about 50km north-east of the city of Mosul. Musafir’s resting place is the focal point of Yazidi pilgrimage. Yazidis living in the region are expected to make a yearly pilgrimage to attend the autumn Feast of the Assembly which is celebrated each September.

    Ethnic researchers trying to dig into the Yazidi faith assess that their religion actually blends elements of Zoroastrianism, Judaism, Christianity, Islam and other faiths. But there are two other major sects of the Yazidani. Among these the most widely known is the Alevi or Alawi sect. The Arab Alawi in Syria are a branch of the same Alevism, Alawi being the Arabic form of the word and Alevi, coming from the Turkish pronunciation. But neither of these can be classified as real Muslims except by a long stretch, though they do accept Muhammad as one of the avatars of the deity.

    While the Yazidi Kurds live mainly in Shangal region of Iraqi Kurdistan around Mosul and Duhok, Efrin and Qamishlo cities in Kurdistan of Syria, Weransehir, Merdin, Midyat, Batman, Diyarbakir, Sirnax in Kurdistan of Turkey and Armenia, Georgia and Russia, there are little known concentrations abroad, some in Europe and others in Canada. A Yazidi community in Canada is associated with the London Yazidi Community Centre there. Some of the foreign born Yazidi have reached prominent positions among their foreign communities. Perhaps the most well known is a young Yazidi woman named Feleknas Uca, 31. Born in Celle in northern Germany, she became a Kurdish member of the European Parliament in 1999, representing Germany’s Party of Democratic Socialism, when only 22 years old!

    But whether this small, but courageous community will survive the massive Muslim onslaught much longer, remains obscure as its ancient faith, to which they staunchly adhere to.

    The Yazidi shrine at Lalish, burrial place of Sheikh Adi ibn Musafir al Umawi’s is located in in Iraqi Kurdestan, about 50km north-east of the city of Mosul.


    U.S. Army Selects New Small UAS for Company-Level Operations

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    Barracuda: A New Family of Low-Cost Autonomous Cruise Missiles from Anduril

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    Anduril Industries has recently introduced its new "Barracuda" family of autonomous cruise missiles, addressing air forces’ need for affordably increased stockpiles of precision weapons. The Barracuda missiles are currently in the company flight-testing phase....

    BAE Systems Australia Unveils an Uncrewed Collaborative Combat Vehicle – the ATLAS

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    BAE Systems Australia has introduced a wheeled uncrewed ground vehicle (UGV) designed to support dismounted and mechanized forces in combat. The Autonomous Tactical Light Armour System (ATLAS) Collaborative Combat Variant (CCV) is an 8x8...

    Defense-Update Weekly Summary

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    Dive into the latest global defense and military technology developments with Defense-Update Weekly News. Visit Defense-Update to dive deeper in this week's news: Highlights: New Russian EO/IR payload for drones Ukraine's "Dragon's Breath" FPV drones ...

    Kongsberg secures $95 Million JSM Order from Australia

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    The Norwegian KONGSBERG Defense company secured a $95 million contract to supply Joint Strike Missiles (JSM) for Australia's F-35A aircraft, enhancing the country's long-range strike capabilities. Australia joins Norway, Japan, and the United States...