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    Winograd’s Blessing in Disguise: Last Wake up Call for Israel

    According to Professor Martin van Creveld, of the Hebrew University of Jerusalem, the final report released last week by the government-appointed Winograd Commission, on Israel’s conduct of the so-called 2nd Lebanon War 2006, consisted of little but failures. For this the political leadership, the top military brass were to blame. Much of the criticism, by the Israeli public, is well founded. The war was indeed marked by a long series of failures. Van Creveld: Failures in planning, failures in intelligence and counterintelligence, failures in command, failures in mobilization, failures in execution, failures in logistics, failures in properly protecting the rear, and perhaps a failure to terminate hostilities earlier and at the cost of fewer Israeli casualties.

    Since the unilateral withdrawal from Lebanon in May 2000, repeated attempts to kidnap Israeli soldiers continued to take place on average every three or four months, with Israel retaliating with minor reactions. However, on July 12, 2006, in response to just one of such incident, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert, with almost the entire Knesset as well as public opinion behind him, launched the 2006 offensive, much to the surprise of Hassan Nasrallah and his Tehran bosses. The offensive did not go nearly as well as it should have and demonstrated numerous deficiencies in the Israeli military.

    However, it is a fact, that Hezbollah, judging by its leader’s repeated statements, was shocked by the violence of Israel’s reaction, while the Iranians were totally dismayed by the loss of their investment, which went up in flames, in 24 hours. Moreover, when the fighting ceased, hundreds of Hezbollah fighters had been killed. The organization was forced out of southern Lebanon, and a fairly effective United Nations peacekeeping force was deployed, together with the Lebanese Army, for the first time in decades.

    Hezbollah, while having restocked its arsenal with even more efficient rockets perhaps, does not seem to relish another round, with Israel, which having learnt a sharp and painful lesson, is already reshaping into a different armed force.

    The IDF is and always was basically a land forces Army. General Dan Halutz, an air force officer, wanted to reorganize the IDF into a three-service force, comprising virtually independent Army Air Force and Navy, depicting the armed forces structures common worldwide. In this concept, which was opposed by many of the ground forces leadership, but firmly overruled, Halutz made a deadly mistake, which backfired already on the first day of the war. Moreover, his warfighting doctrine, which was based on stand-off fire, primarily led by the air force and, to a lesser extent, on artillery fire, could not diminish Hezbollah’s short-range rocket offensive, which kept nearly a million Israelis in shelters for over a month.

    In a democracy, the political leadership is solely responsible to give the army clear and specific directives, how to conduct the war, in order to meet the nation’s strategic aims. For decision makers being capable of giving such directives, a crisis management team must be created, rendering professional assistance to the civilian leadership. This is normally provided by the National Security Council (NSC), which unfortunately, was not involved in the decision-making process. Without a clear directive, the army can, even unintentionally, misinterpret some of the top decisions, resulting in serious disorder, confusion and misunderstanding of orders issued along the chain of command. The lack of clear and unmistakable directives caused most of the failures throughout the warfighting conduct of the entire war. For example, the political leadership never really issued direct orders to the army to stop the rocket offensive against the civilian population, which lasted incessantly until the very last day of the war!

    You may also refer to our earlier feature “Israel’s Postwar Commission Urges: Crisis Management Imperative“, published May 2007, covering the preliminary findings of the the Winograd report.


    IDF officers are envious of their American counterparts: These have documents of “national strategy” that are issued by the president, and a “security strategy” published by the secretary of defense as a basis for “military strategy”, which is drawn up by the joint chiefs. In Israel, the army normally puts up with the blunders of the governments, which do not tell the military, in clear language, about their intentions. This leaves the army brass largely guessing about what their leaders really want them to achieve. The inevitable result from lack of orderly staff work at the political leadership level creates a dangerous situation, in which the army’s near sole domination of the nation’s strategic vision is unhealthy. Accordingly, the politicians are conducting their decision-making, usually lacking both understanding or without requesting alternatives from the military.

    Whatever the controversy over the latest Winograd Report may be, leading analysts consider the 2nd Lebanon War a last, indispensable, wake-up call to arouse the State of Israel from years of slumber and ignorance in matters of top national security. There are of course, those, who regard the first 48 hours of the highly successful air campaign on Hezbollah’s long-and medium range rocket arsenal, as sufficient response for the abduction of the two reservists. But should the action have stopped right there, it is highly questionable whether the two would have been released (in fact, Hezbollah did not provide any details about the two since their abduction). But, there is little doubt, that the former chief of staff, air force General Dan Halutz, would have stayed in top command, implementing his dangerous “three-service” force to the full – in other words, the decline in the warfighting doctrine of the IDF Land Forces would continue, in both national budgetary and training priorities. The tanks would have remained without their vital active defense systems, confronted by fourth-generation ATGM. Israel’s rear would continue to suffer from an overwhelming rocket threat, without adequate national funding for advanced rocket defense systems. The IDF would maintain enhancing its dangerous stand-off firepower operations doctrine, which failed miserably during the 34 days of its first realistic confrontation with a determined enemy, fighting in a virtual “empty battlefield”, lacking sufficient point-targets to attack from the air alone.

    But there is more. Even those actions, in which larger, brigade-sized formations were used, like the battle for Maroun a-Ras, the ruling misconceptions backfired due to lack of determined top level leadership. Maroun a-Ras can hardly be regarded as a fiasco, as the media described it. In a brigade attack, mounted by Brigadier General Gal Hirsh’s 91st division (who was blamed for his division’s mistakes and forced to retire) the fortified village was captured after fierce fighting, killing over thirty Hezballah troops. In the command bunker, classified documents, advanced weapon systems, supplied by Iran and communications equipment rendering vital tactical intelligence were seized, all this at a cost of five men killed and several wounded. In spite of this clear success, the impact of casualties brought about immediate cessation of activities and forced immediate withdrawal on specific GHQ orders, backed by a hesitant political leadership. Unfortunately, the hasty withdrawal only caused more casualties!

    A similar situation occurred during the last sixty hours of the war. It is irrelevant, to this analysis, whether the planned three-division offensive was necessary or not, when the UN sponsored cease fire was already within sight. Our insight, centers only on the military conduct of the battle. Crossing Wadi Saluki became the mission of 162nd Armored Division, which was spearheaded by “L” Company of 9th Tank Battalion, 401st Armored Brigade, equipped with Merkava Mk4 tanks. During a sharp action, fought in a forced narrow passage, the company lost five of its eleven tanks. Human casualties during the entire action, which lasted a few hours, were eleven dead and more wounded. Two of the five tanks hit were totally destroyed by multiple missile strikes, most probably Kornet laser-guided missiles. The others were later recovered.

    While MEDEVAC took care of the casualties, another company followed through and with support of the brigade’s second battalion, pushed uphill, only a short distance away, from the division objective, when it received orders from the top command, to halt immediately and disengage! Only a few hours later, another mission was aborted when, during a mass heliborne operation, tasked to capture the strategic high ground overlooking the Litani River, one CH-53 Sea Stallion crashed, probably hit by missile, with five crewmen killed. The mission, which included several thousand men and equipment, was called off by GHQ and the civilian leadership- with at least 24 hours left, until the cease fire came into effect.

    From a professional viewpoint, all these examples signify lack of determination by the military and civilian leadership – which are to blame for the botched conduct of the war. But this blame cannot include the combat troops and tactical leadership, which in many cases demonstrated utmost bravery in battle and devotion to their mission, even when sustaining heavy casualties. It is a matter of fact, that in every face-to-face combat with Hezbollah guerilla troops, the IDF clearly gained the undisputed upper hand. Should the military and civilian leadership have shown equal standards – the outcome of the 2nd Lebanon War would no doubt have been very different, even in its latest offensive phase.

    As for combat leadership there are many valuable lessons to be gained from this war. Network centric communications offer a wide range of hitherto unavailable, tactical situation awareness, to commanders at all levels, on real time basis. However, when practiced from stand-off distance, vision and sensor based command and control cannot replace combat leadership during critical phases, right alongside the troops. Another advanced service, the mobile subscriber exchange service (military cellular phone) providing person-to-person conversation (Mountain Rose) provided, under some circumstances, the only means of communications for field commanders. However, such method of communications was never designed to replace combat network radios. These means are useful enabling secure point-to-point conversations and coordination between senior commanders, but should never be used to issue orders, which have to be listened to by crosswise radio networks, reaching all tactical commanders simultaneously.

    Tactical commanders, (from division, down to the platoon level), must “feel” the heat of the battle, virtually smelling, the stench, heat, blood and tears of their troops, in order to get things moving again, when the going gets rough. Leading by virtually watching the conduct of battle from remote locations, as it rolls off on their screens, fed by the best resolution images, from the bird’s eye view of the UAV, cannot replace the commander’s presence at vantage points. Hearing the calm commander’s voice, over a crosswise radio net, for all to listen in, directing the battle during crisis situations, is irreplaceable in providing the foundation for victory, encouraging and guiding troops under stressful combat situations. Moreover, even in the modern battlefield, a determined fire-supported assault remains the best casualty reducing practice, provided it is led by frontline leaders. Mission persistence throughout the entire battle is imperative to achieve ultimate accomplishment of the objective.

    Under the leadership of its new chief of staff, Lt. General Avi Ashkenazi, the IDF is rapidly regaining its lost warfighting capability. One of the IDF’s biggest changes was regarding training protocols, recently holding large-scale divisional exercises, in which it implemented most of the lessons learned during the Second Lebanon War, including interfacing with the various government establishments. The military has further approved a NIS 250 billion ($68.8 billion) perennial work plan – Tefen – which includes the continuance manufacturing of Merkava 4 tanks, purchasing of hundreds of heavy tracked armored personnel carriers, reinforcing the Air Force with additional fighter jets and the Navy with warships, as well as accelerating the development of rocket countermeasures and anti-missile systems. Other changes involve redefining the responsibilities of Military intelligence, by creating a unit charged with liaising with intelligence factors in the field. Much attention was placed on retraining the reserves. The IDF has re-stocked on its ammunitions and equipment since the war’s end, but nevertheless, several deficiencies still exist and are due to be replenished over the next fire years, costing some NIS 2 billion ($550 million).

    A central thesis in the final Winograd report revolves around criticism of the paralyzing fear of the government and the IDF leadership of losses in the war, which made it difficult to take risks. The committee believes that Israel must be prepared for sacrifice when it comes to protecting its citizens. Although Israeli society has changed for the worse in its attitude toward losses, the committee members are now preaching to the public and its leaders about the need for change.

    For further reading; 2nd Lebanon War Analysis:

    FCS Vehicles Move On

    The new family of vehicles includes the mounted combat vehicle (carrying a 120mm cannon), a command and control vehicle, reconnaissance and surveillance vehicle, an infantry carrier vehicle, non-line-of-sight cannon (NLOS-C now in prototype stage), the non-line-of-sight mortar (NLOS-M) , a medical vehicle-evacuation and medical vehicle-treatment and recovery and maintenance vehicle. All eight vehicles will share a common platform, powertrain, suspension and tracks, chassis, and various systems such as sensors, active and passive protection, electronic and communications systems etc.

    The total cost of the program is currently estimated at $160 billion. The lead systems integrator team (led by Boeing and SAIC) is contracted $21 billion for FCS System Development and Demonstration (SDD) phase spanning 11 years, from 2003 through 2014. Unlike individual programs of record, FCS is designed as an integrated system of systems, and the aggregate contract cost is not broken out by either individual pieces or platforms. One of the most innovative and essential elements of the program is that all of the systems have been designed from the outset to work together seamlessly.

    Army officials said they have adopted a phased development approach for FCS. This plan allows the Army to deploy the most mature and urgently required elements, while maintaining other systems in developmental phase, allowing the resolution of problems and technical challenges without disrupting the Army’s entire FCS modernization effort. There are three planned ‘Spinout’ phases for the program – Unattended sensors and small unmanned vehicles are included in the first Spinout. Sensors, active protection systems, a larger unmanned system and the FCS Battle Command Network are candidates for the second and third Spinouts.

    The FCS family of vehicles is introducing many new capabilities to the Army. One of the most obvious, is the introduction of electrical propulsion for combat vehicles. “Every Manned Ground Vehicle (MGV), is going to be hybrid electric,” According to FCS Program Manager Maj. Gen. Charles Cartwright, during a session at the Association of the U.S. Army’s Institute of Land Warfare Winter Symposium and Exposition, each of the FCS Manned Ground Vehicles (MGV) will have an electrical power generation supporting 420 kilowatts, required to support the hybrid-electric propulsion and myriad of electronics systems on board. All eight MGV types will be powered by electric motors providing the traction drive. The motors will be powered by batteries, which are charged by side mounted high-power-density diesel generators. As technology matures, the diesel engine will be replaced by fuel cells for power generation, Cartwright said. The vehicle also uses active suspension system facilitating increased speed and agility and cross-country mobility, negotiating vertical and trench obstacles.

    The first prototype of the Non Line Of Sight Cannon (NLOS-C), the lead vehicle in the FCS family of manned platforms is already in production; it is the first of five prototypes to be tested by the army beginning to be delivered this year. Another vehicle type, well underway is the Mounted Combat System (MCS). This vehicle will be the ‘tank’ of the FCS unit. MCS will have a crew of three – a commander/driver (common crew) and a gunner. The vehicle will carry a lightweight, low-recoil 120mm cannon, firing standard (line of sight) and beyond line of sight (MRM type) ammunition. The firing platform for the program’s Mounted Combat System 120mm cannon will enter production soon.

    Elements of the common sensors to be used with each of the FCS MGVs were shown at AUSA Winter. The Multi-Function Radio Frequency system (MFRF) and Medium Range EO Infrared sensor System (MREO), both developed by Raytheon, are part of the sensor suite used on all FCS vehicles. These RF/EO elements will operate as ‘networked sensors’ connected through the C4ISR interface computer to provide the crew with real-time situational awareness, surveillance and targeting data. The same data could also be shared across the FCS combat team over the Common Operating Picture (COP) generated by the FCS ‘system of systems’ networking infrastructure.

    Beside this family of vehicles, the FCS combat unit will field a number of unmanned systems, optimized for different combat roles. The largest unmanned element is the Multifunction Utility/Logistics and Equipment vehicle, (MULE), which was selected to be one of the candidates for the third technology ‘SpinOff’ scheduled for the next decade. This 2.5 ton unmanned ground vehicle (UGV) is designed to support dismounted and air-assault elements of FCS’ unit of action. There are three MULE versions in the planning – all are built by Lockheed Martin. These versions share a common mobility platform equipped with unique 6×6 independent articulated suspensions, in-hub electrical motors for each wheel, and a new suspension system enabling the MULE to negotiate rough terrain, far exceeding that of vehicles utilizing conventional suspension systems. The MULE will be equipped with one of three mission equipment packages – a transport, weapon and sensor/carrier and countermine platform. Two of the ground sensors are already in an advanced stage. The urban Unattended Ground Sensor (U-UGS) is designed to be a “left behind” asset for constant, 24-7 surveillance. Soldiers could leave an UUGS in a house that they cleared, and thereby eliminate the need for a Soldier to stay behind and monitor that structure. The UUGS would alert the Soldiers to the re-emergence of enemy combatants or insurgents.


    Other unattended systems include the Tactical UGS (TUGS) – these ‘left behind’ assets are designed to support intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance operations, providing persistent presence in area of interest to the unit. Two classes of UGS are in development – an urban and a tactical unmanned ground sensor. According to Gen. Cartwright, both have been delivered to the Army Evaluation Task Force at Ft. Bliss for Soldier Evaluation. Recent exercises conducted at Ft. Bliss also involved the Small Unmanned Ground Vehicle, (SUGV), and the ‘Class I’ Unmanned Aerial System (UAS). According to Gregg Martin, vice president and program manager, 25 SUGV and the 11 Class 1 UAS, (called Block 0) were delivered and are being used for testing, “We’ll deliver the rest of those new FCS systems in the April timeframe; they will then go through a Soldier evaluation around July.” said Martin. When the Army adjusted the FCS program, it dropped two unmanned aerial systems from the FCS systems lineup. As a result, specific roles, such as target designation functions (by laser) are to be integrated with the Class 1. Since the vehicle’s small size and limited payload capacity were inadequate for the new payload, the MAV required redesign to accommodate a bigger engine to account for the additional weight. The Class IV UAV, a joint Army-Navy program, will take delivery of its sensor package within the next two years, Martin said.

    The software backbone of FCS is the ‘System of Systems Common Operating Environment’ (SOSCOE), a key element of the FCS network service layer that will be the operating system driving all FCS elements. “We’re at roughly 70 percent complete on the application build off of SoSCOE,” Martin said. SOSCOE is “performing very well on the application side. We’re about 40 percent through our software development, so we just completed integration of Build 1, which accounts for about a third of the software. The second phase (Build 2) will make another third of the software, and is broken into two parts, the first is scheduled to start to drop in the April 08 timeframe, and start the integration process throughout the summer.

    Progress is made on the FCS network which is addressed in five specific layers: sensors, applications, services, transport and standards. In the transport layer, the Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) ground mobile radios (GMR) is the element required to interface and work with existing forces using current technology. “On radio side we have GMRs out in the field, working well,” Martin said. Current systems are pre-engineering developmental models and will be followed by more mature systems in late 2009. Other JTRS radios to be included in the system are handheld, manpack, and small form-fit radios that will be integrated into the various unmanned systems. Currently the Small Form Fit (HMS) radion is being integrated with the Class 1 MAV with testing scheduled to begin in Summer 2008.

    ARMY, USMC Set the JLTV in Motion

    The U.S.Army was designated as the lead service of the Joint Army/Marine Corps program. On February 5, 2008 the Army released the Request for Proposal (RFP) inviting suppliers to submit proposals for the development of a JLTV Family of Vehicles (FoV). The Army plans to evaluate at least three industry teams through the system’s 27 month development and demonstration phase, maintaining multiple contractor teams through the low-rate initial production.

    The JLTV Family of Vehicles (FoV) will utilize, as much as possible, the most advanced, yet mature technologies Technology Readiness Level (TRL) 6 or higher), being developed for other DoD programs, including the Army’s Future Combat Systems program, and other incumbents and studies, sponsored by the Army Tank Automotive Research Development and Engineering Center (TARDEC) developments, Army Research Lab (ARL), and the Office of Naval Research (ONR). While the program is designed for the U.S. military, it is anticipated that JLTV, like HMMWV preceding it, will be adopted by many armies around the world. Several foreign governments have already expressed a strong interest in joining the development of the JLTV vehicles.

    The 27 months Technology Development phase is scheduled to continue till 2010 and involve three teams. During this phase vehicle models will be designed and fabricated in 2009 being tested in 2010, leading to the selection of two teams for the System Development and Demonstration (SDD, Milestone B) in 2011. This phase will continue through 2012 and focus mainly on testing, leading to a final selection of the winning design and awarding production contracts (Milestone C) by FY 2013. The final decision will also address considerations such as fuel efficiency, life cycle operations and support improvements such as cost reduction, reliability growth, reduction of annual maintenance man hours, and accelerated deliveries.

    US Undersecretary of Defense John J. Young guided the services to seek foreign participation in the program, especially with the UK and Australia. Several industry teaming have already been formed to compete. By 2011 the current technology demonstration phase will transition System Development Demonstration (SDD) phase where two contractors will complete the design and development of the JLTV FoV, and companion trailers. The Army expects to select a single supplier for the entire vehicle family.

    The teams that already expressed their intention to participate include:

    • Northrop Grumman and Oshkosh Corp
    • General Tactical Vehicle (AM General& GDLS)
    • Lockheed Martin and BAE (formerly Armor Holdings)
    • BAE Systems and International Military and Government (IMG)
    • Boeing, Textron and SAIC
    • Force Protection Inc. and DRS
    • Other companies expressing interest in the program include Blackwater Inc., Raytheon and I3.
    Five Payload Categories Define JLTV FoV

    Five payload categories will address the range of vehicle derivatives in the JLTV family of vehicles (FOV). Each team is expected to build seven vehicles, four ballistic hulls and four trailers. The vehicles include a four-seat general purpose variant (JLTV-A-GP) which will be common for both services. This version is expected to be the lowest weight configuration. A C-130 transport aircraft could take two of these JLTVs each loaded with 3,500 lbs of payload. It will also be carried externally (sling loaded) by a CH-53 or CH-47 helicopter. All other versions of the JLTV are expected to be heavier, and although each could be carried by CH-53/CH-47, only one vehicle could be carried in a C-130.


    As for the infantry carrier, different versions will be required for the Marines and Army, since each service has different transportability requirements. Both will be required to carry an infantry or marine fire team (6 seats). Reconnaissance versions will also be deployed as scout and target designation (Knight) assets. The two infantry carrier variants could be based on the same vehicle as the height and other external dimensions could be common for both platforms.

    A four-seat Command and Control On-The-Move (JLTV-B-C2OTM) variant will also be common for both services. Similar configuration will be used for the Heavy Guns Carrier variant, to be used for escort, patrol and security missions by both services. This vehicle will accommodate four soldiers and a gunner. A two-seat utility vehicle capable of carrying a shelter carrier or used as prime mover. A JLTV based protected ambulance will also be designed, with accommodation of a crew of 3 and two litters. These vehicles are characterized as ‘Category B’, capable of carrying payloads up to 4500 lbs. A heavier ‘Category C’ variant will be abe to carry up to 5,100 lbs, configured as shelter carrier, utility vehicle and an ambulance with capacity for four litters. All vehicles will be geared to carry an integral trailer with additional payload capacity of 6,100 lb.

    Requirements Guidelines Outlined

    The current mix of tactical vehicles operated by the U.S. DoD has several drawbacks. The vehicles do not have basic protection and require heavy add-on armor, severely limiting their performance and payload carriage capability. Where sufficient armor is available, vehicle transportation and support to-and-around the theater of operation is severely degraded, since they are outsized and overweight for most transportation and recovery platforms. Furthermore, their electrical power generation capacity is inadequate for current requirement, supporting “power-hungry” devices such as multiple radios and computers, remote weapon stations, multiple electronic devices including high power jammers (CREW) and other countermeasures.

    In contrast, JLTV will be designed for commonality beyond major components, to include repair parts, tools, training, system design, maintenance procedures and sources of supply. JLTV will have the same soft soil mobility as HMMWV, improved off-road and on-road performance in dry conditions and superior capability in urban terrain, addressing lessons learned in recent combat mobility experience in Iraq and Afghanistan.

    The vehicle will be designed to be ‘ballistic tolerant’, enabling the crew to escape ambush zones, remaining mobile, even after the vehicle is being hit. It will incorporate crew counter-fire-protection and other basic safety improvements. Built-in means of recovery will include self recovery (by Winch), buddy recovery by another JLTV and recovery by wreckers. JLTV will be designed to avoid rollover, and remain resilient once it occurs.

    Diesel or Hybrid Electric Propulsion?

    Unlike earlier considerations of using hybrid electric propulsion, JLTV will be initially powered by diesel engines. Although the Army considers Hybrid Electric Vehicles (HEV) powered vehicles have a great promise, they are yet to prove their maturity. The Army is cautious about batteries not yet offering the required energy density in a compact power and weight form. Batteries are still too bulky, and too expensive. One of the advantages of the hybrid-electric vehicles is exportable power. However, the Army considers current systems to be overweight and oversized for useful applications. Another area for improvement is the thermal management. Despite the current limitations, HEV will become a central element for future tactical ground forces and is addressing these issues with several ongoing programs, expected to be concluded by the end of the decade, paving the way for full-scale fielding of Hybrid Electric Drive (HED) vehicles within 5-7 years. Compared to the current vehicle fleet, JLTV will fit into existing maintenance and support infrastructure, introducing significant improvement in reliability, compared to the current HMMWV, given the modular approach and component commonality to repair and replacement, improving the speed of repair and availability of spare parts.

    Fuel efficiency is not a major factor in the system’s preliminary design, but maximizing fuel efficiency will be a major consideration in the final selection process. Power generation and energy storage are also addressed, to meet current and future unit-level power requirements. Vehicles will also utilize upgradeable power generation and storage capacity, supporting specific requirements and future advances.

    As JLTV enters the developmental phase, other programs are already underway which could influence and contribute to the final design. Among those are studies of advanced Tactical Wheeled Vehicle Survivability concepts, including tri-modal aluminum armor, shock mitigating seats, active RPG Defeat, and advanced modeling of blast and fragmentation effects, integrated vehicle electronic and data architecture, Hybrid Electric Vehicle Experimentation, Continually Variable Transmission Study.

    Gaza Exodus Threatening Repercussions on Egypt’s Future

    View the CBS News Photo Essay on the Gaza – Rafah situation

    These are moments of glory for Hamas. It conducted its campaign brilliantly last week, and as it seems, so far, with complete success. At no stage did Israel have sufficient response to counter the initiatives of Hamas: Its excellent intelligence community, normally capable of pinpointing Hamas leaders for targeted killings, failed to alert on the organization’s preparations along Philadelphi border line separating the Gaza strip from Egypt. But in fact, not intelligence gathering, nor experts, just plain common sense was the only thing needed to realize, that breaking the barrier between besieged Palestinian Rafah and free Egyptian Rafah, was only a matter of time.

    The steel wal erected by Israel in an effort to protect its soldiers patrolling the separation line between Gaza and Egypt was toppled by Hamas engineers, in an attempt to ease the Israeli blockade on the Gaza strip.
    It was also an impressive engineering feat. To plan, plant, implement and execute simultaneous explosions, creating a domino effect, toppling such a strongly built infrastructure, required high level professionalism. Analysts doubt that Hamas, alone could not have done this, without professional outside help. Intelligence sources suspect, that Iranian demolition experts arrived in Gaza, mingling with the pilgrims from Hajj in Saudi Arabia three weeks ago, when Egypt allowed them, reluctantly to return, without sufficient security checks.

    Hamas operatives had been sawing away the foundations of the wall between Egyptian and Palestinian Rafah for a few months, preparing it to blow it up when the time came, a source close to the Popular Resistance Committees (PRC) in Rafah told ‘Haaretz’ newspaper on Wednesday.


    Explosions were set at no less than twenty points along the border fence, clear evidence of a campaign that was planned and coordinated well in advance. In destroying the wall separating the Palestinian and Egyptian sides of Rafah, Hamas chalked up another impressive, if not strategic coup. The organization demonstrated once again, that it is a disciplined, determined entity and an opponent that is exponentially more sophisticated than the Palestine Liberation Organization in Ramallah.

    But there was much more at stake here. While thousands of Gazans spilled over into Egypt, Hamas military used the confusion to seize Egypt’s strategic deep water port of Rafah on the Gaza Mediterranean coast. In August 2005 the Sharon government granted Egypt naval control over the territorial waters off the Gaza Mediterranean coast up to Ashekelon. Egypt constructed a new 300-meter pier for six 300-ton naval ships on the shore of Rafah, the town which was divided by mutual agreement between Egypt and the Gaza Strip.

    Meanwhile a few miles southwest of the border, the Egyptian authorities desperately attempted to set up a more organized line of defense, trying to turn back Palestinians reaching El Arish town, halfway to the Suez Canal zone. But for thousands of Palestinians who flooded through the border breaches, it was the Eastern Mediterranean version of the ancient Bible exodus – only this time in reversed form. It opened a floodgate of people and there was no stopping them, apart from opening fire on the surging crowds, which the Egyptians could not afford.

    An interesting development which already seems to emerge is, that on President Mubarak direct orders, the Egyptian border police redeployed to a new line, covering El Arish, Bir Lahfan and Abu Agheila. This step would effectively hand over to the control of Hamas-led Palestinian terrorist organizations a Northern Sinai void of roughly 855 sq, km., almost twice the area of the Hamas-ruled Gaza Strip.

    A map showing Giora Eiland's "Grand Design" proposed plan to exchange territories between Israel, Egypt and Gaza to provide the Gaza  strip with pore populated area.Implementing the Grand Design

    It is little known, that in 2004 retired Major-General Giora Eiland, former chief of Israel’s National Security Council, made a similar proposal to then prime minister Ariel Sharon, calling for a regional solution of the Gaza dilemma. His proposal included adding 600 square kilometers to Gaza in northern Sinai, allowing for the construction of an international port and airport, and a city in which millions of Palestinian refugees could live. Eiland “grand design” plan (see map), sought compensating Egypt with 150 square kilometers in the southern Negev and offer a tunnel connecting Egypt’s Central Sinai with Jordan, north of Eilat. Unfortunately nothing came of General Eiland’s plan. Instead Sharon opted for the unilateral disengagement from Gaza in August 2005, which, turned into a strategic disaster-creating Hamastan, with all its painful “trimmings”.

    Egypt’s Security at Risk?

    Now Egypt is watching with mounting alarm as the crisis in the Gaza Strip threatens to spill over onto its own heartland. This is part of a nightmare which was haunting Cairo’s security services for years, since Hamas became dominant in the Gaza strip, right on Egypt’s doorstep. Now it seems, that the unpredictable Middle Eastern scenario, in which the ever-volatile Israeli-Palestinian conflict, getting dangerously out of hand, has already matured into a real threat. President Hosni Mubarak is facing a painful dilemma: on the one hand he wants to maintain his, well paying US sponsored, relationship with Israel. On the other he must avoid the impression that he is abandoning the Palestinians, including the hated Gazans, which are Egypt’s traditional pain-in-the neck.

    Meanwhile, President Mubarak is pulling out the stops to get Israel to ease its restrictions, limiting the number of his security forces in the Sinai Peninsula, according to the 1979 Peace demilitarization agreement, which allowed only a restricted number of police forces deployed at the Rafah border and even the overall troops levels in Sinai.
    Egypt’s security services are already on high alert after learning that the 130,000 Palestinians, living in communities around Cairo, Alexandria and the Suez Canal cities, are preparing to help their Gazan brothers steal into Egypt.

    Gaza’s links to Egypt go back to 1948, when it annexed the strip – then part of British-ruled Mandatory Palestine – after the war with Israel, with its population swollen by newly-arrived refugees. Israel occupied it for a few months after the 1956 Suez war but Egyptian rule was restored until the next round in 1967.

    There are already significant repercussions to the Hamas coup in Rafah. According to rumors spread among Palestinian media reports, early Thursday, Jan. 24, apparently American forces and equipment were to have wihdrawn from the Multinational-force and Observers (MFO) airbase at El Gora northeast of al Arish. However, a former member of MFO has informed us that this report was factually incorrect. Having contacted MFO officials stationed at North Camp El Gorah there were no plans, at this stage to redeploy or withdraw MFO contingents from this location. This message we find most reassuring to stability in this volatile region and wish to apologize for our earlier report, which seems to have been spread by intentional disinformation from involved sources, during the turmoil which aroused Northern Sinai.

    But the danger to Israel’s security in now real and imminent from another direction.

    Hamas and other terrorist organizations in the Gaza Strip, have already used the newly open border with Egypt, to dispatch numerous terrorists into the Sinai peninsula over the last two days, with the goal of sending them from Sinai into Israel to commit attacks, defense officials said Thursday. Carrying out spectacular attacks has been a long seeked aim, but was effectively thwarted by the sophisticated Gaza fence barrier. Accordingly, the Israel Defense Forces, the police and the Shin-Bet general security service have consequently beefed up their forces and their alert to highest level, along the Israeli-Egyptian border in an effort to thwart infiltrations. But all these efforts must be regarded virtually as ‘mission impossible’, as the desert stretch from Rafah to Eilat is over two hundred kilometers long, and mostly negotiable by 4×4 vehicles or on foot.

    Now that Gazans have ‘exploded’ out of their long besieged enclave, it may be up to Israel to seal up the border again, since the Egyptians are showing no signs of doing so. US Secretary Condoleezza Rice and David Welch, her assistant for the Middle East, made a point of warning Mubarak that he must act expeditiously to restore border security, because the entire Washington Palestinian strategy, hinging on Abbas and the Annapolis declarations, hangs in the balance.

    Wake-up Call ending “Pax Americana” illusion

    But the Americans have no one to blame but their own president, who, through his dangerous “pax Americana” illusion, tried to bring democratization into a region, where this is still regarded as counter productive, if not catastrophic. It started in Iraq and Afghanistan, spilled over to Egypt, Lebanon and culminated with the 2006 Hamas elections, their July 2007 coup and now, finally the “Sinai exodus”. This latest development could well announce the next step – a possible Moslim Brotherhood takeover bid for the post Mubarak era in Egypt. The Egyptian president already hinted his main worry is not the Palestinian issue but concern that his own opposition, led by the Muslim Brotherhood, may adopt Hamas tactics and stir up trouble in his cities. Foreboding signs are already evident: Underlining domestic sensitivities, 460 members of the semi-outlawed Muslim Brotherhood were arrested Friday, while heading for a demonstration outside the Cairo HQ of the Arab League.

    High concern is voiced by analysts over Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood gains in the recent elections. The Egyptian authorities received a shock last fall, when the Muslim Brotherhood, an officially banned, but venerable and tolerated fundamentalist group, won some 20% of parliamentary seats. The Muslim Brotherhood, established in 1928 became outlawed in Egypt since 1954.

    The big question will be, whether Mubarak will allow Israel to mount a decisive military foray into northern Sinai and rout Hamas before it can deploy sufficient power, or link-up with terrorist forces, already strongly established in the barren Sinai mountains. For an effective counteraction, time is critical- any hesitation or political haggling can be catastrophic.

    Sinai: Safe House for Terrorism

    While the Egypt-Israel 1979 Peace Agreement has de-militarized the entire Sinai Peninsula, it also made it into a giant safe house for terrorism. Sinai’s geographical position places the Sinai Peninsula in a highly strategic area, astride of some of the most ancient smuggling routes through unpopulated desert and extremely difficult topography, making excellent hide-outs in mountain caves. Iran and Al Qaeda have focused on Sinai long ago, but increased its clandestine operations base, with growing emphasis, following the US campaign against Taliban in Afghanistan.

    These smuggling routes are of highly strategic importance in Middle East conflicts past, present and future. Counter intelligence sources estimate that major routes lead from as far as the Black Sea to the shores of El- Arish in northern Sinai ferrying arms and contraband in both directions. Now with Hamas in control in parts of Northern Sinai, and realizing that Iran is actively supporting the Islamic organization- an utmost dangerous situation can develop, in which the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) will finally establish its long sought forward base along the Mediterranean.

    Logically there might be a solution to this insoluble dilemma. Israel could agree to redraw the security annex of the 1979 Egypt-Israel agreement and allow Egypt to deploy several divisions into Sinai, deploying sufficient forces to restore its authority in the lawless peninsula. Taking such a step would, however be extremely dangerous for Israel, taking into account that a major change could occur in a post-Mubaraq regime, in which the Moslem Brotherhood will form a new government and make all agreements with Israel null and void. Under such circumstances, Israel would be faced by no less than four potential frontlines: Hezbollah in Lebanon, Syria, the West Bank ( under Hamas), Gaza Hamastan and a hostile Egyptian Army equipped with the latest US military equipment, matching its own arsenal.

    Triggering a Spillover Effect?

    But there is more at stake on the immediate outlook. There is little doubt that Hamas’s impressive gains will affect many Arab nations in the Middle East and primarily those, with a growing populating living under squalor and deprivation. Foremost of these will be Jordan, which is populated by over sixty percent Palestinians, many of which admirers of Hamas. Should these rise against the Royal Hashemite Kingdom rule, which they already tried in September 1970, this could prove disastrous to Israel and the United States Middle East policy.

    On Friday Muslim Brotherhood activists marched in Amman to protest Israel’s closure on Gaza, and call on Hamas to resume suicide bombings. About 8,000 activists from Jordan’s mainstream Muslim Brotherhood took to the streets in support of their ideological brethren, the Palestinian Hamas group. Jordanian officials have been alarmed. They fear it broadens the popularity of the Islamist movement among a majority of poor Jordanians, many of them living in refugee camps and long disenchanted with the US-led Middle East peace process. “Hamas is winning more supporters every day because it represents the conscience of the nation,” Sheikh Hamza Mansour, a leading Islamist deputy said.

    There is however one bright element in these, otherwise all bleak developments: Egypt actually helped Israel on Wednesday, to complete the 2005 disengagement from the Gaza Strip. Moreover, it clearly signaled Hamas’ disengagement from the insignificant and powerless, Ramallah leadership. The obvious would be a long term solution under which the Gaza Strip will be aligned with Cairo, while the West Bank- eventually to Jordan. A two-state Palestine, in which a non-territorial connected Gaza and West Bank can be functioning, is really unthinkable, under such abnormal terms. As matters stand this week, it seems logical, that further talks with the ‘impotent’ Abbas-Fayad team, which is not even ruling the West Bank, is a sheer waste of effort for Israel, which should now concentrate to find a viable solution to the new challenges – which are facing its security.

    President Bush’s Annapolis Palestine statehood dream seems no more than wishful thinking under the new circumstances. It is high time for the Washington administration, to wake up to Mid Eastern realities and discard their pipe dream policies, which have already backfired on every futile attempt. Why should Israel not start thinking on its own and decide what’s best for it. It certainly would not be a “Two -Palestine” state.

    The steel wall seperating Gaza from Egyptian Rafah. This wall erected by the Israelis collapsed by multiple explosions set by Hamas engineers.

    Topol / Topol M (SS-27)

    RS-12M/SS-25 // RS-12M2/SS-27

    Inter-Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM)

    Russia plans to field the Topol-M (RS-12M2 or NATO reporting name SS-27) Inter-Continental Ballistic Missiles (ICBM) with a fifth strategic missile regiment operating under the Tatishchevo strategic missile division bringing the number of operational regiments equipped with the Topol M to eight.

    The Topol (RM-12 / SS-25) was first deployed by the Russian military in 1997, and is operated since by the Teikovo division under control of the Strategic Missile Forces in the Ivanovo region, northeast of Moscow.

    The Topol regiments currently operate 48 missiles based in underground silos. Two more will be deployed in 2008. In 2007 the regiment received its first mobile Topol-M, operated by the 2nd battalion. The unit is scheduled to receive additional mobile missiles in 2008.

    Topol-M missiles are expected to form the core of Russia’s strategic missile force. Toppol-M has a range of about 11,000 kms (7,000 miles), and is claimed to be immune to missile defenses, using terminal phase maneuvering, countermeasures and decoys. It is also claimed to be resistant to radiation (including laser), electromagnetic pulse and nuclear blast. Gen. Nikolai Solovtsov, SMF commander, earlier said that Topol-M systems would be equipped with multiple independently targetable reentry vehicles (MIRV) in the next two or three years.

    The mobile Topol-M missiles are less vulnerable to the technical reconnaissance of an enemy. Russian officials said that production of mobile missile will continue over the next few years. Topol-M missiles are expected to form the core of Russia’s strategic missile force.

    In a parallel move, Russian Navy submarines will get the naval version known as RSM-56 Bulava-M, (NATO Reporting name SS-NX-30) currently undergoing flight testing. The first submarine of the Borei series, Yury Dolgoruky, is expected to join the Navy in 2008. Russia has also made a decision to start serial production of the Bulava-M missile, following a successful test launch in late June 2007.

    Titan’s Acquisition Consolidates Chemring’s Simulation Offering

    Chemring Group PLC, a leading producer of expendable decoy countermeasures announces is set to buy the U.S. based Titan Dynamics Systems, Inc. from the Allied Defense Group (ADG). Chemring agreed to pay $4.75 million in cash for all Titan’s stocks. As a privately held company, Titan was acquired by the Allied Research Corporation in 2002 but now, ADG is oriented toward weapons and ammunition activities and decided to divest its non-strategic assets.


    Titan, a manufacturer of battlefield effects simulators, provides battlefield effect simulators (BES) and pyrotechnic cartridges offering warfighters to practice in realistic training throughout the military’s ‘digital training grounds’. Typical simulators include missile launch and IED effect generators, replicating the characteristics of shoulder-launched weapons against land or air targets. The company provides these services through a five year contract operated by the US Program Executive Office, Simulation, Training and Instrumentation (PEOSTRI).

    According to David Price, Chief Executive of Chemring, merging Titan with Chemring’s current cartridge-based military training pyrotechnics activity will consolidate the company’s position in this £90 million niche market, introducing multi-effects cartridge system (MECS) from IEDs to micro-pyrotechnics, which can be used indoors for training in urban warfare.

    BAE Systems Closes Pinzgauer 1 Production Line

    BAE Systems plans to close the manufacturing facilities at Guildford and Fareham and discontinue production of the Pinzgauer 1, with the potential loss of up to 102 jobs. Development of the Pinzgauer 2 vehicle will be transitioned to the BAE Systems South Africa business. Reviewing current and future potential workload, and the current cost base of the Pinzgauer vehicle, the company decided to end the program, maintaining a core team of about 25 people to support existing users, primarily the Armies of UK and New Zealand.

    BAE will continue the assembly of Pinzgauer 1 and vector vehicles currently on order for the UK Ministry of defense will be completed at the current locations. The Pinzgauer line of business was acquired by BAE Systems in August 2007 as part of the Armor Holdings acquisition. The Pinzgauer proved to be a costly product that consumed expensive production resources that could not fit within BAE’s wheeled vehicle strategy.

    US Forces Suffer a Fatality in the new MRAP

    The New York Times reports on the first fatality inflicted by a roadside bomb attack on a Mine-Resistant Ambush-Protected (MRAP) armored vehicle; these vehicles were recently deployed to Iraq in an effort to improve the protection of US patrols in the country. The crew suffered one fatality (the gunner) and three injuries from an Improvised Explosive Device (IED) attack. “It’s a great vehicle, but there is no perfect vehicle,” said Lt. Col. Kenneth Adgie, commander of the battalion that lost the soldier.


    The attack occurred in Al Jabour, a rural area southeast of Baghdad on the Tigris River, where the combat engineers from the 1st battalion operated supporting soldiers of the 30th Infantry Regiment, 2nd Brigade Combat Team, 3rd Infantry Division, who had been clearing farmhouses and villages after a dawn air raid. The battalion had been using the new vehicles for about two months, and that this was the first time one had been hit with a bomb. This area was known to be planted with IEDs. The exact type of MRAP was not reported, a video released by the Pentagon indicates the vehicle was a Cougar. However, units operating in the area are operating the MaxxPro, recently delivered to U.S. Army units in the region.

    Preliminary findings determined that the vehicle was hit by the buried IED when it was driving beside an irrigation ditch. The vehicle being hit was the second-to-last vehicle in the group. Several vehicles in the convoy had already passed over the same spot, but failed to set off the IED, which was assumed to weigh about 300 pounds (150 kg). The pressure triggered ‘deep-buried IED’ was not detected by the unit despite repeated attempts, using air surveillance, air strikes against suspected IED sites and surveys with metal detectors.

    The explosion sent the vehicle airborne and caused it to overturn. According to preliminary findings, the MRAP absorbed the blast, as it was designed to do, as the inner compartment was not compromised, resulting with light injuries for the three crew members. Unfortunately, the crew member killed was the gunner Specialist Richard Burress (25), who was the most exposed in the Gunner Protection Kit (PGK) installed on the vehicle’s roof. At present, MRAP vehicles are shipped to theater without remotely operated weapon stations. It is unclear yet whether he was killed by the blast or by the vehicle rolling over. The vehicle itself was ‘destroyed’ according to eye witnesses.

    IED jammers, metal detectors and other countermeasures are employed by coalition forces to protect vehicles and troops from remotely controlled IEDs, roadside bombs and mines. Deep-buried, pressure triggered activation charges are usually more complex to set-up, but when placed, are also more difficult to detect. As these charges are usually not controlled by remote, they are planted in locations where coalition forces are expected to pass. The pressure activation device can be set to trigger the bomb only by heavy vehicles, and not by trucks or animals.

    Similar deeply-buried bombs were detected and detonated by the unit before the explosion. Similar devices were used the past to destroy heavy armored vehicles such as M-1 tanks, Bradley armored vehicles. They were originated in Lebanon and the Gaza strip, were they destroyed several Merkava main battle tanks.

    Further reading from other columns:

    Aerospace & Defense Sector Demonstrates Continued Growth

    Some of the leading corporations in the aerospace and defense market published their fourth quarter and annual reports for 2007, indicating continued growth and prosperity for this market segment, which is considered to be ‘inflation proof’. Lockheed Martin reported net earning of $3 billion for 2007, Northrop Grumman earned $1.8 billion, and General Dynamics reported over $2 billion profit. In contrast to the higher yields, declined profits were reported by two of United technologies’ aerospace and defense operations – engine maker P&W and Sikorsky.

    Lockheed Martin

    Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) reported net earning of $3 billion for 2007, up 20% from 2006. In the fourth quarter the company earned $799 million, 9.6% over the fourth quarter of 2006. Lockheed Martin’s revenues totaled $41.9 billion for 2007, representing a 6% increase over 2006. The largest segment was aeronautics, contributing $12.3 billion to the annual revenues (flat growth, 12.0% operating margin) Electronic Systems contributed $11.14 billion to the sales, (up 6%) and 12.6% operating margin.

    Sales of Lockheed Martin’s Aeronautics business declined by 11% in the fourth quarter, but overall increased by 1% for the entire year. Lower production volume of F-16 aircraft, and F-35s as well as C-130 was attributed for the Q4 drop. Throughout the year, lower production activities were compensated by an increase in sustainment services activities, dictated by continued higher operational tempo of U.S. Air Force aircraft. Overall, the volume increases on the F-22 program was sufficient to offset the decline on the F-16 and C-130 programs. profitability of this segment increased in 2007, primarily on combat aircraft, but decreased in C-130 support.

    The Electronic Systems segment increased by 6% during 2007, particularly in fire control systems and air defense programs while sales of tactical missiles decreased, compared to 2006. Undersea and radar systems activities generated higher sales while surface systems dropped. Platform integration were also higher in 2007.


    General Dynamics

    General Dynamics (NYSE:GD) earned $2.1 Billion in 2007, up 23% from 2006. The company reported total revenues for the whole year was $27.2 Billion, up 12% from 2006. Fourth quarter earnings and revenues were roughly proportional to the full year’s results. By year’s end the company’s backlog stands at $46.8 Billion. “Given our strong performance in 2007, the record backlog and strong support for our programs, we expect 2008 earnings to be in the range of $5.55 to $5.65 per share, fully diluted,” said General Dynamics Chairman and Chief Executive Officer Nicholas D. Chabraja.

    GD’s Combat Systems segment represented the biggest growth in earnings and profit in 2007, up 30% from 2006, sustaining about 11% operating margin. Aerospace segment trailed in second place, with 17% growth but higher operating margin (16.8%).

    Northrop grumman

    Northrop Grumman’s earnings for 2007 were $1.8 billion up from $1.6 billion in 2006 representing 12.5% growth in the 2006-2007 period. For 2007, sales increased 6% to $32 billion from $30.1 billion in 2006. The company’s backlog increased by $3 billion to $64 billion positioning Northrop Grumman in a good opening position for 2008.

    All divisions demonstrated healthy growth. Information & Services segment increased sales by 11% through 2007 but profitability dropped compared to 2006, with operating margin dropping by 0.6% to 8.1% of sales, reflecting higher costs. Mission Systems operations increased 8% in 2007 while maintaining 2006 operating margin levels (9.5%). This growth reflected higher volume for C4 and missile defense programs, and the acquisition of the Essex Corporation. The report indicated that the operating margin in 2007 was attributed mainly to higher volumes.

    Information Technology sales rose $524 million (13%) largely due to higher sales for commercial, defense and intelligence programs. The operating margin of this segment also declined from 8.3% in 2006 to 6.8%, ($13 million), primarily due to a business mix that included higher volume of lower-margin deals.

    Aerospace sales for 2007 declined $223 million (3%) from 2006, due lower sales of the integrated systems operation, partly offset by higher sales of space technology. Declining sales were attributed to lower volumes related to programs transitioning to production including E-2D and EA-18G, and the F-35 program (which suffered delays since thMay 2007). Reduction was also experienced in the E-10A and related MP-RTIP systems. However, increased support for B-2, F/A-18 and the Global hawk helped balancing the picture.

    revenues from black programs, sales of land forces equipment, electro-optical targeting pods and infrared countermeasures and ISR systems contributed to an increased of 6% in sales of the Electronics segment in 2007. Operating margin increased $32 million, and as a percent of sale was 11.8%, up 0.3% from 2006.

    Sales of Northrop Grumman’s shipbuilding operations rose $467 million or 9% from 2006, the increase reflects new orders for landing assault ships (LPD, LHD and LHA) aircraft carrier construction and modernization and submarines programs. The profitability of the shipbuilding operations increased substantially from 2006, increasing operating margin to $145 million (37%) or 9.3% of sales (compared to 7.4% in 2006). Although this achievement reflects substantial performance improvements, it also accounts for insurance recovery related to Hurricane Katrina and pretax gains resulting from reorganization activities.

    United technologies

    United Technologies Corp. (NYSE:UTX) reported a powerful close top 2007, and its expectations for 2008 are also solid. Engine maker Pratt & Whitney increased revenues 9% reporting $12.129 billion in 2007. Sikorsky reported 47% growth in revenue, from $3.23 billion to $4.78 billion in 2007. However, both divisions reported lower consolidated profit margins in 2007 – PW’s consolidated profits were 22% below 2006’s, mostly attributed to the fourth quarter and Sikorsky reports a $3 million loss for 2007. the reports didn’t provide explanations for this data. In the 4th quarter of 2007 Sikorsky signed a five-year, $7.4 billion contract with the Pentagon, for the supply of 537 H-60 type helicopters for U.S. military services. The contract has options for 263 more helicopters, which could add $4.2 billion to Sikorsky’s cashflow.

    Astute Class – Nuclear Powered Attack Submarine for the Royal Navy

    Far bigger and more potent than the current class submarines, the 7,400 tons, 100 meter long sub weighs about 2,000 more than the current Trafalgar class submarines. Astute is expected to begin sea trials in March 2008, and is expected to enter service with the Royal Navy in 2009. It will be based in Scotland. Astute is the first vessel of four in the Astute class. The other three are AMBUSH, ARTFUL and AUDACIOUS.

    The nuclear reactor and 4 turbines on board Astute are capable of generating tens of megawatts of power, yet less than a single watt of power is radiated into the sea. Once deployed, Astute is designed not to require refuelling throughout her full service life – over 25 years – and can patrol for 90 days, remaining undetected thousands of miles from home and hundreds of metres underwater. The submarine will be equipped with 38 missiles and torpedoes comprising tomahawk missiles, and Spearfish heavyweight torpedoes. It is fitted with an electro-optical system replacing the traditional periscope. Astute will be operated by 98 seamen, 17 less than the Trafalgar class crew. The Astute, the first sub of this class was launched on June 8, 2007 by HRH The Duchess of Cornwall at the BAE Systems shipyard in Barrow in Furness, Cumbria. Astute is the first nuclear attack submarine to be launched in the UK for almost a decade. The photos on this page show the Astute prepared for the official launching at the BAE Shipyard. Also shown is the fore section, showing three torpedo launchers and the distinctive forward sloped nose. with propulsion elements visible. The and aft section at the bottom indicates some details of the propulsion elements.

    Israeli Satellite Successfully Launched by an Indian Missile

    Israel Aerospace Industries (IAI) announced today the successful launch of the TECSAR satellite carrying a Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) developed by its subsidiary Elta Systems. The satellite was launched on January 21, 2008 at 03:45 GMT from the Satish Dhawan Space Center, SHAR, Sriharikota in Andhra Prades; southwest India on a Polar Satellite Launch Vehicle (PSLV) C10 satellite launcher.

    IAI established contact with the satellite 80 minutes after the launch. After confirming the satellite is in orbit and its systems are healthy, IAI’s engineers began an extensive series of systems testing which could take several weeks. IAI expects to receive initial SAR images from the satellite within 14 days. TECSAR is one of the world’s most advanced SAR satellites, providing high resolution SAR images regardless of the visibility condition, in day, night and through clouds. The new satellite will increase Israel’s surveillanve capability by ‘opening the night’, increasing ‘target revisit’ rate, overcoming enemy concealment and deception techniques, combining a target profile from multiple, discrete sensors.

    This launch was the second commercial mission for another country carried out by the Indian Space Research Organisation (ISRO). The 300 kg TECSAR satellite uses a polar orbit, like the EROS satellites which were launched by Russian satellite launchers. The OFEQ satellites are launched into retrograde elliptical orbit from Israel, using Shavit satellite launchers.

    The successful deployment Israel’s TECSAR will also promote the cooperation between Northrop Grumman and IAI, initiated in April 2007. The companies announced an exclusive teaming agreement to provide a responsive, cost-effective, space-based SAR capability to the U.S. government based on IAI’s multi-mode X-band radar imaging satellite known as Trinidad. This satellite, based on TECSAR design, can be manufactured in about 28 months and held in storage for launch on a 30-day call-up.

    “We are confident that the high resolution imagery provided by Trinidad can become an important part of the U.S. inventory, providing global awareness,” said Jeff D. Grant, vice president and general manager of the company’s National Systems Division. “Northrop Grumman is ready to quickly deliver Trinidad to help the U.S. gain a more complete picture of the threats we face today on a global scale.”

    TECSAR satellite undergoing final checks at IAI. Photo: IAI

    A-400M

    Following repeated delays the A400M program is now in full swing, with the first aircraft undergoing final assembly in Seville, Spain. Assembly will be completed later this year and the first flight is scheduled for the first quarter of 2008. To date Airbus Military has received firm orders for 192 aircraft from nine customer nations.


    This new, multi-role military airlifter will replace the ageing fleets of C-130 Hercules and C-160 Transall in service some of the NATO air forces and other air forces around the world. The A400M almost doubles the payload and volume of the aircraft it will replace. It will be configured for three principal mission profiles – strategic operations (long range, large capacity, high cruise speed) tactical missions (soft-field performance, autonomous ground operation, low speed / low level operations, aerial delivery) “in-theatre” aerial refueling services.

    The A400M is capable of operating into unprepared landing strips under adverse meteorological conditions completely independent of ground support. With its 6-wheel main gear and high flotation characteristics, the A400M will be able to land on soft grass fields over low plasticity clay, a performance which far exceeds that of any similar aircraft. Operations from remote sites, with limited or no ground facilities and limited space for maneuver are severe constraints for a tactical airlifter. With turning radius of 30 meters, A400M is capable of operating from simple air bases with limited aprons and taxiways. The aircraft is capable of reversing up a 2% slope on a hard surface, under its own power, (1% slope on soft surfaces loaded with tactical Maximum Takeoff Weight, in hot and high conditions.)

    The aircraft is capable of operating into unprepared landing strips under adverse meteorological conditions completely independent of ground support. With its 6-wheel main gear and high flotation characteristics, the A400M will be able to land on soft grass fields over low plasticity clay, a performance which far exceeds that of any similar aircraft. Operations from remote sites, with limited or no ground facilities and limited space for maneuver are severe constraints for a tactical airlifter. With turning radius of 30 meters, A400M is capable of operating from simple air bases with limited aprons and taxiways. The aircraft is capable of reversing up a 2% slope on a hard surface, under its own power, (1% slope on soft surfaces loaded with tactical Maximum Takeoff Weight, in hot and high conditions.) For most missions the A400M would require less than 1000 meters of usable runway.

    On tactical airlift missions the A400M is capable of air dropping paratroops and equipment via parachute or gravity extraction. It can drop a single load up to 16 tons, or multiple loads up to 25 tons of total weight or simultaneously drop 116 paratroops and a wedge load of 6 tons. Performing Very Low Level Extraction (VLLE) the A400M will be capable of dropping up to three individual loads weighing 6.35 tons each, on a low level pass (15 ft above ground). Configured into a tactical tanker, the A400M will carry two standard air-to-air refuelling pods under the wings or loaded with a centre-line pallet-mounted hose drum unit that will be fitted in the rear cargo bay, providing a fuel flow of 1800 kg/min. Each of the pods will provide a fuel flow of up to 1200 kg/min, supporting helicopters, turbo-props or jets. To enhance the fuel volume, up to two optional cargo bay fuel tanks (CBT) can also be installed, providing up to 12 tons of extra capacity. These additional tanks connect directly to the aircraft’s fuel system and thus become part of the A400M’s computer-controlled centralized fuel management system. Utilizing the extra pallets and its own fuel, the aircraft will be able to carry up to 58 tons of fuel.

    Compared to the C-130, the A400M is designed to be more versatile and accommodate bigger loads, ranging from armored combat vehicles and artillery to attack and utility helicopters and heavy engineering vehicles. The A400M cargo box dimensions are optimized for the transportation of heavy vehicles and / or cargo pallets, as well as being easily configured to carry troops, paratroops, or Medevac. Its cargo handling system allows for pallets and containers to be loaded / unloaded by a single loadmaster, without any special ground support equipment. An optional 5-tonne crane can be installed at the rear of the fuselage allowing loading and unloading of fully loaded military pallets.

    The A400M cargo bay can accommodate up to 116 fully equipped troops / paratroops, seated in four longitudinal rows. Paratroops can be dropped from the rear doors or from the ramp. The hold can also be converted for a medical evacuation role (MEDEVAC) allowing up to 66 stretchers accompanied by 25 medical personnel.

    The cargo hold provides enough space to carry nine standard military pallets (88in x 108in) including two loaded on the ramp area. Civil pallets (125in-wide) can also be loaded using an optional roller/restraint system. Simultaneously 54 troops can be seated in the side-wall seats. The pallet roller/ restraint system can easily be stowed to provide a flat floor for tracked or wheeled vehicle loading.

    First Flight

    The newest European Military Transport Aircraft, Airbus A400M took off on its maiden flight today from Seville Airport in Spain on December 11, 2009, with Airbus Chief Test Pilot Military, Edward “Ed” Strongman at the controls and Experimental Test Pilot Ignacio “Nacho” Lombo in the right-hand seat. Today’s long awaited first flight lasted 3 hours 47 minutes embarks on an extensive test program that will include about 3,700 hours of flying by an eventual five aircraft conducted between now and entry-into-service at the end of 2012.The A400M will receive both civil certification by the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) and military certification and qualification. Airbus is planning on an initial production of 184 aircraft that have so far been ordered by Belgium, France, Germany, Luxembourg, Malaysia, Spain, Turkey and the United Kingdom with initial deliveries planned for late 2012.

    Airbus A400M shown at the Faranborough 2010 Air Show

    Israel Tests a New Propulsion for 4,000 km Jericho III Missile

    Israel carried out a missile test on Thursday, January 18, 2008. In contrast to being illusive on providing information on such tests, Israel’s Defense Ministry confirmed the launch explaining it was a successful test of a new rocket propulsion system coupled with a test missile. MOD sources added that following the test, the system could now be integrated with different missiles. Various news sources indicated the missile being tested was the Jericho III, capable of attacking ground targets at a range beyond 4,000 km.


    According to foreign sources Israel has an inventory of Jericho II ballistic missiles, with a range of 1,500 km, equipped with unconventional warheads. Foreign sources also reported that in recent years, the country tested the three-stage Jericho III weapon, capable of reaching targets at a range of 4,500 km, capable of delivering both conventional and unconventional payloads, including multiple warheads, weighing 750 – 1,300 kg.

    The recent test confirmed the performance of the new solid-rocket propulsion system, believed to be a three-stage system. It also validated the performance of the Jericho weapon system, which was last tested in 2001. Foreign news media claimed Israel conducted extensive test launches of Jericho missiles in Algeria (under a secret cooperation with France, which lasted throughout the 1960s). After the French embargo Israel reestablished the test program under its cooperation with South Africa and used a remote facility Africa to test its missiles. However, since the close strategic cooperation with Pretoria ended, missile tests moved back to Israel and are conducted from Palmachim test center near Tel Aviv, where every test is clearly visible over the country’s largest metropolis.

    Israel has used the Shavit satellite launcher, claimed to be a three-stage derivative of the Jericho II missile, to launch satellites of the Ofeq series. Two satellites were lost as they failed to enter orbit, while five others were deployed successfully, some remaining operational in orbit for more than five years. In the past Israel considered the development of the Next / LK-1 satellite launchers, capable of deploying payloads of up to 350 kg into orbits more than twice higher than the original Shavit.

    Field testing of Aerial & Ground Robots Could Lead to Early Fielding of FCS Components

    US Army soldiers test a prototype SUGV, as part of an evaluation of early FCS systems. Photo: US ArmyestingThe U.S. Army has accelerated testing of two Future Combat Systems (FCS) robotic prototypes, based on positive feedback from soldiers who are using early versions of the systems in with current forces in Iraq and Afghanistan. Through the next six months the FCS Lead System Integrator team will deliver 25 iRobot Small Unmanned Ground Vehicle (SUGV) units, and 11 Class I (Block 0) Honeywell Miniature Aerial Vehicles (MAVs), for field testing by the Army Evaluation Task Force (AETF) at Fort Bliss. Following the operational test, scheduled for May 2008 and, by September 2008 the Army will decide whether to field an early version of the robots or continue their development under the core FCS program. This effort is intended to provide an early capability of SUGV and MAV to soldiers in the field. FCS will procure a number of the early SUGV units and then transition to the full network-capable SUGV as scheduled by the FCS program.

    The SUGV robotic platform will be smaller and weigh  half the weight of the PacBot robot. Photo: US DOD

    The 30-pound SUGV is a small, lightweight, soldier-portable unmanned ground vehicle that is capable of conducting military operations in high-risk environments, including urban terrain, tunnels, sewers and caves, without exposing soldiers directly to potential hazards. The Class I (Block 0) UAV, a platoon-level asset and the smaller of the two FCS unmanned vehicle classes, will provide dismounted soldiers with unprecedented reconnaissance, surveillance and target acquisition capabilities on the battlefield. The Class I UAV can operate in complex urban and jungle terrains with vertical takeoff, hover and landing capability, and can be operated autonomously or controlled by dismounted soldiers.

    FCS-UGS Systems. Photo: US DODBoth tests will be separate and occur in parallel, although separately from the official FCS “Spi-Out 1” effort scheduled for initial field testing in 2008. Spin-Out 1 is the first of three planned infusions of FCS capabilities to the Current Force. Equipment and technologies included in Spin-Out 1 will provide enhanced situational awareness and communication capabilities through technology insertions to Abrams battle tanks, Bradley fighting vehicles and HMMWV vehicles.

    These elements include hardware systems comprising the communications system including the Joint Tactical Radio System Ground Mobile Radio and Integrated Computer Systems and their related operating systems known as ‘System-of-Systems Common Operating Environment’ (SOSCOE), and Battle Command and Network Management software. Among the sensors considered for Spin-Out 1 are the Tactical and Urban Unattended Ground Sensors (T/U UGS) providing real-time threat information in complex terrain. The Non-Line-of-Sight Launch System (NLOS/LS) is the first weapon system considered for Spin-Out 1, introducing remotely controlled precision fires to the current force.

    Class I Miniature Aerial Vehicle (MAV) is part of the FCS unmanned systems family of platforms. Photo: US Navy“The acceleration of the SUGV and Class I (Block 0) UAV prototypes and testing underscores the Army’s commitment to enhancing soldier survivability and mission effectiveness by getting the capabilities into their hands as soon as possible,” said Dennis Muilenburg, vice president-general manager, Boeing Combat Systems, and FCS program manager. “The decision to accelerate, driven in part by feedback from soldiers in theater, also confirms that we are on the right track to deliver a crucial capability that is needed and desired by our soldiers currently serving in combat operations.”

    30 May 2008: The U.S. Army Evaluation Task Force at Fort Bliss, Texas is preparing for an extensive evaluation of a number of elements of the Army’s Future Combat Systems (FCS) this summer. If all goes well, some systems could be fielding in 2011. FCS elements considered for early fielding as part of the program’s ‘Spin Out 1″ process. Spin Out 1 consists of unattended sensors, Non Line-of-Sight Launch System, elements of the Joint Tactical Radio System’s Ground Mobile Radio (JTRS GMR) “B Kit”, including the radio, computing system and remote controllers. These B Kits will be installed in existing vehicles such as Bradleys, Humvees and M-1 Abrams battle tanks. Spin Out 1 elements were demonstrated earlier this month on Capitol Hill.

    Photo below: First Lt. Andrew Andersen, scout platoon leader, Headquarters and Headquarters Company, 2nd Combined Arms Battalion, 5th Brigade (Army Evaluation Task Force), 1st Armored Division, explains the capabilities of a Tactical Unattended Ground Sensor during a Future Combat Systems demonstration at Fort Bliss, Texas.

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